VLO$176.45
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Powered by LiveAIOverall Analysis
BuyValero Energy Corporation (VLO) presents a balanced investment profile with strong fundamentals in the energy sector, a stable dividend, and a generally positive market outlook. While near-term technicals suggest some downward pressure, the company's long-term prospects remain solid due to its essential role in energy markets.
Thematic
Valero operates in the essential but evolving energy sector. While renewable diesel offers a growth avenue, the core refining business is sensitive to energy price volatility and the broader energy transition narrative.
Fundamental
Valero demonstrates robust financial health, including strong profitability, manageable debt levels, and consistent cash flow generation, supporting its dividend and shareholder returns.
Technical
Short-term technical indicators suggest weakness. The stock has experienced a recent price decline, and many moving averages are pointing downwards, indicating potential for further downside or a period of consolidation.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Energy Transition | 75 |
| Commodity Price Sensitivity | 50 |
| Infrastructure & Logistics | 80 |
| Geopolitical Factors | 55 |
| Regulatory Landscape | 60 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 55 |
| Profitability | 60 |
| Growth | 45 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 80 |
| Cash Flow | 85 |
| Dividend | 88 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 30 |
| Momentum | 35 |
| Volume | 60 |
| Support & Resistance | 45 |
| Short-term Trend (5 Day Performance) | 30 |
AI Investing Checklist
Powered by LiveAIBullish Points (7)
Consistent EPS Beats
The company has consistently beaten earnings per share (EPS) estimates in recent quarters, with surprise percentages ranging from 4.39% to a remarkable 843.67% (Q1 2025), indicating strong operational execution and efficient cost management.
Attractive P/E Ratio for Growth
The trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 47.73 might seem high, but when considering the forward earnings estimates for 2025, the forward P/E ratio becomes much more attractive, suggesting potential value if earnings growth continues.
Bearish Points (7)
High Trailing P/E Ratio
The trailing P/E ratio of 47.73 is significantly higher than historical averages and could suggest the stock is overvalued based on current earnings. This implies high growth expectations are already priced in.
Volatile Revenue and Profitability
Revenue and net income have shown significant year-over-year fluctuations (e.g., revenue down from $176.38 billion in 2022 to $129.88 billion in 2024, net income down from $11.53 billion to $2.77 billion). This volatility in top-line and bottom-line performance indicates potential cyclicality or sensitivity to market conditions.
Calendar
July 2025
24
Next Earnings Date
H: $3.03
A: $2.46
L: $1.49
H: 30.13B
A: 28.86B
L: 28.03B
July 2025
31
Ex-Dividend Date
September 2025
2
Next Dividend Date
Profile
Valero Energy Corporation manufactures, markets, and sells petroleum-based and low-carbon liquid transportation fuels and petrochemical products in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Latin America, Mexico, Peru, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol. The company produces California Reformulated Gasoline Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CARBOB) and Conventional Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CBOB) gasolines, CARB diesel, diesel, jet fuel, heating oil, and asphalt; feedstocks; aromatics; sulfur and residual fuel oil; intermediate oils; and sulfur, sweet, and sour crude oils. It sells its refined products through wholesale rack and bulk markets; and through outlets under the Valero, Beacon, Diamond Shamrock, Shamrock, Ultramar, and Texaco brand names. The company owns and operates renewable diesel and ethanol plants, as well as produces renewable diesel and naphtha under the Diamond Green Diesel brand name. In addition, it offers ethanol and various co-products, including dry distiller grains, syrup, and inedible distillers corn oil to animal feed customers. The company was formerly known as Valero Refining and Marketing Company and changed its name to Valero Energy Corporation in August 1997. Valero Energy Corporation was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas.
Seasonals
Price Target
154.86 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for VLO have a max estimate of 186.00 and a min estimate of 133.00.
Debt Level and Coverage
Financial Position Analysis
Ownership
Capital Structure
Valuation - Summary
Valuation - Ratios
Revenue to Profit Conversion
Balance Sheet
Income Statement
Cash Flow
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