MPC$197.05
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Powered by LiveAIOverall Analysis
BuyMarathon Petroleum Corporation demonstrates strong fundamental performance with robust profitability and a manageable debt level. While current technical indicators suggest some short-term headwinds, the company's strategic positioning in the energy sector and consistent dividend payouts make it an attractive option for investors seeking stability and income, with potential for capital appreciation.
Thematic
Marathon Petroleum operates within the essential energy sector, benefiting from stable demand for refined products and renewable diesel. However, the transition to renewable energy sources and regulatory shifts pose both opportunities and challenges.
Fundamental
Marathon Petroleum exhibits strong financial health with a solid market capitalization, consistent revenue generation, and healthy profitability. Its balance sheet indicates manageable debt levels and sufficient liquidity.
Technical
Marathon Petroleum's stock price is currently experiencing a decline, trading below recent highs and showing mixed signals across technical indicators. While the long-term trend has been positive, short-term momentum appears to be weakening, suggesting a period of consolidation or potential further downside.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Energy Transition & Renewables | 75 |
| Commodity Price Volatility | 60 |
| Infrastructure & Logistics | 70 |
| Regulatory Environment (Energy) | 50 |
| Economic Growth Sensitivity | 70 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 40 |
| Profitability | 65 |
| Growth | 45 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 70 |
| Cash Flow | 85 |
| Dividends | 80 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 50 |
| Momentum | 50 |
| Volume Confirmation | 60 |
| Support & Resistance | 55 |
| Earnings Momentum | 70 |
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Powered by LiveAIBullish Points (6)
Attractive Valuation
The trailing P/E ratio is 23.6x, which is competitive given the EPS TTM of $7.26. The Price to Sales ratio of 0.3 suggests revenue generation is efficient relative to its market cap.
Consistent Dividend Payout
The dividend yield is 2.00% with a last payment of $0.91. Historical dividend payments show consistency, suggesting reliable shareholder returns.
Bearish Points (6)
Negative Q1 2025 Earnings Estimate
The estimated EPS for Q1 2025 is -$0.53, a significant miss compared to the reported EPS of $0.77 in Q1 2024, signaling potential profitability challenges in the near term.
High Trailing P/E Ratio
The trailing P/E ratio of 23.6x is higher than the P/E ratios reported for 2022 (3.6x) and 2021 (1.9x), suggesting the stock may be trading at a premium compared to its historical valuation, potentially due to the recent dip in net income.
Calendar
May 2025
21
Ex-Dividend Date
June 2025
10
Next Dividend Date
August 2025
5
Next Earnings Date
H: $3.75
A: $3.23
L: $2.96
H: 40.00B
A: 31.71B
L: 21.82B
Profile
Marathon Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated downstream energy company in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Refining & Marketing; Midstream; and Renewable Diesel. The Refining & Marketing segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks at its refineries in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions of the United States; and purchases refined products and ethanol for resale and distributes refined products through transportation, storage, distribution, and marketing services. Its refined products include transportation fuels, such as reformulated gasolines and blend-grade gasolines; heavy fuel oil; and asphalt. This segment also manufactures propane and petrochemicals. It sells refined products to wholesale marketing customers in the United States and internationally, buyers on the spot market, and independent entrepreneurs who operate primarily Marathon branded outlets, as well as through long-term fuel supply contracts to direct dealer locations primarily under the ARCO brand. The Midstream segment gathers, transports, stores, distributes, and markets crude oil and refined products, including renewable diesel and other hydrocarbon-based products through refining logistics assets, pipelines, terminals, towboats, and barges; gathers, processes, and transports natural gas; and transports, fractionates, stores, and markets natural gas liquids. The Renewable Diesel segment processes renewable feedstocks into renewable diesel, markets, and distributes renewable diesel through its Midstream segment and third parties. It sells renewable diesel to wholesale marketing customers, buyers on the spot market, and through long-term supply contracts to direct dealers under the ARCO brand. Marathon Petroleum Corporation was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Findlay, Ohio.
Seasonals
Price Target
181.79 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for MPC have a max estimate of 213.00 and a min estimate of 142.00.
Debt Level and Coverage
Financial Position Analysis
Ownership
Capital Structure
Valuation - Summary
Valuation - Ratios
Revenue to Profit Conversion
Balance Sheet
Income Statement
Cash Flow
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