NRG$156.43
$157.715
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AI NRG Summary
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Powered by LiveAIOverall Analysis
BuyNRG Energy presents a mixed investment profile. Fundamentally sound with good profitability and cash flow, but facing some headwinds and a slightly stretched valuation. Technical indicators are mixed, suggesting potential short-term volatility. Suitable for investors seeking utility sector exposure with a focus on dividends and potential for modest growth.
Thematic
NRG Energy operates within the essential utilities sector, which benefits from stable demand. However, the company's exposure to smart home technology through Vivint introduces a growth component, but also adds complexity and potential integration risks. The transition towards cleaner energy sources is a positive thematic driver.
Fundamental
NRG Energy demonstrates solid financial health with healthy revenue and profitability, supported by strong free cash flow generation. While debt levels are substantial, they appear manageable given the company's cash flow. The valuation metrics are not excessively high, but future growth hinges on successful integration and operational efficiency.
Technical
The stock has demonstrated positive momentum over the past year, but current price action shows signs of consolidation. Key moving averages are mixed across different timeframes, suggesting no clear short-term trend. Trading volume is generally average, and technical indicators provide a neutral to slightly cautious outlook.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Energy Transition | 75 |
| Smart Home Technology | 60 |
| Regulatory Environment | 60 |
| Commodity Price Sensitivity | 70 |
| Dividend Appeal | 70 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 50 |
| Profitability | 60 |
| Growth | 70 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 55 |
| Cash Flow | 85 |
| Earnings Quality | 65 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 80 |
| Momentum | 65 |
| Moving Averages | 55 |
| Volume Analysis | 60 |
| Support/Resistance Levels | 50 |
AI Investing Checklist
Powered by LiveAIBullish Points (7)
Strong EPS Surprise
Recent EPS surprises have been significantly positive, with Q2 2025 at 79.57% and Q4 2024 at -4.9% (indicating a beat on expectations despite a slight miss), demonstrating the company's ability to exceed analyst forecasts.
Attractive Forward P/E
The forward Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio for 2025 is projected to be around 24.8, suggesting that if earnings meet expectations, the stock might be attractively valued relative to its future earning potential.
Bearish Points (7)
High Trailing P/E Ratio
The trailing twelve months (TTM) P/E ratio is 49.3, which is high and suggests the stock may be overvalued based on current earnings, potentially limiting upside.
Revenue Decline in Q4 2024
Revenue in Q4 2024 was $6.819 billion, a decrease from $7.223 billion in Q3 2024, indicating potential headwinds or slowing business momentum.
Calendar
May 2025
15
Next Dividend Date
August 2025
1
Ex-Dividend Date
August 2025
6
Next Earnings Date
H: $1.75
A: $1.54
L: $0.98
H: 7.08B
A: 6.55B
L: 6.26B
Profile
NRG Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy and home services company in the United States and Canada. It operates through Texas; East; West/Services/Other; Vivint Smart Home; and Corporate Activities segments. The company produces and sells electricity generated using coal, oil, solar, and battery storage; natural gas; and a cloud-based home platform, including hardware, software, sales, installation, customer service, technical support, and professional monitoring solutions. It offers retail electricity and energy management, line and surge protection products, HVAC installation, repair and maintenance, home protection products, repair and maintenance, and carbon offsets; retail services comprising demand response, commodity sales, energy efficiency, and energy management solutions; and system power, distributed generation, renewable and low-carbon products, carbon management and specialty services, backup generation, storage and distributed solar, and energy advisory services. In addition, the company trades in power, natural gas, and related commodities; environmental products; weather products; and financial products, including forwards, futures, options, and swaps. It offers its products and services under the NRG, Reliant, Direct Energy, Green Mountain Energy, and Vivint. It serves residential, commercial, government, industrial, and wholesale customers. NRG Energy, Inc. was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Seasonals
Price Target
166.34 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for NRG have a max estimate of 200.00 and a min estimate of 92.00.
Debt Level and Coverage
Financial Position Analysis
Ownership
Capital Structure
Valuation - Summary
Valuation - Ratios
Revenue to Profit Conversion
Balance Sheet
Income Statement
Cash Flow
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