VST$159.6
$159.13
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Powered by LiveAIOverall Analysis
BuyVistra Corp. demonstrates strong fundamental performance with significant revenue growth and improving profitability. Thematic tailwinds in energy transition and grid reliability are positive. Technical indicators suggest a short-term overbought condition, but the long-term trend remains bullish. Recommended for growth-oriented portfolios seeking exposure to the energy sector's transformation.
Thematic
Vistra Corp. is well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing energy transition, focusing on decarbonization, grid reliability, and flexible energy solutions. Its integrated model and growing renewable and battery storage portfolio align with secular trends.
Fundamental
Vistra Corp. exhibits strong revenue growth and significant improvement in profitability and net margins. Its balance sheet health is solid, with manageable debt levels and positive free cash flow generation, supporting a consistent dividend payout.
Technical
Vistra Corp. stock is in a strong uptrend, trading well above key moving averages, indicating positive momentum. However, some oscillators are signaling overbought conditions, suggesting a potential for short-term consolidation or a minor pullback.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Energy Transition & Decarbonization | 85 |
| Grid Modernization & Reliability | 80 |
| Retail Electricity Market | 70 |
| Regulatory Environment Impact | 65 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 60 |
| Profitability | 85 |
| Growth | 85 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 50 |
| Cash Flow | 80 |
| Dividends | 40 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 60 |
| Momentum | 70 |
| Volume Confirmation | 75 |
| Support & Resistance | 75 |
| Short-term Oscillators | 65 |
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Powered by LiveAIBullish Points (7)
Strong Earnings Growth
Quarterly earnings (EPS) showed significant positive surprises in recent periods, notably a 350.94% surprise in Q4 2024 and a 42.68% surprise in Q3 2023, indicating robust earnings beats.
Attractive Valuation vs. Growth
The Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 17.5 for 2024 suggests a potentially attractive valuation given the reported net income for that year. The company's ability to generate significant positive net income in recent periods (e.g., $2.66 billion in 2024) supports this valuation.
Bearish Points (7)
High Valuation Multiple in Certain Periods
The trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is 31.15, and historical P/E ratios have been volatile, including negative figures in 2022 (-54.3) and 2021 (-5.6). This suggests potential overvaluation depending on future earnings stability.
Slowing Revenue Growth in Some Quarters
While annual revenue shows growth, quarterly revenue trends show some variability, with Q1 2025 reporting a revenue of $3.933B compared to $3.054B in Q1 2024. However, recent quarterly net income has been negative (e.g., -$268M in Q1 2025), indicating profitability challenges in the short term.
Calendar
June 2025
18
Ex-Dividend Date
June 2025
30
Next Dividend Date
August 2025
7
Next Earnings Date
H: $1.56
A: $1.56
L: $1.56
H: 5.73B
A: 5.04B
L: 4.33B
Profile
Vistra Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated retail electricity and power generation company in the United States. It operates through five segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, and Asset Closure. The company retails electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across states in the United States and the District of Columbia. It also involved in the electricity generation, wholesale energy purchases and sales, commodity risk management, fuel production, and fuel logistics management activities. It serves approximately 5 million customers with a generation capacity of approximately 41,000 megawatts with a portfolio of natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy storage facilities. The company was formerly known as Vistra Energy Corp. and changed its name to Vistra Corp. in July 2020. Vistra Corp. was founded in 1882 and is based in Irving, Texas.
Seasonals
Price Target
183.85 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for VST have a max estimate of 232.00 and a min estimate of 61.00.
Debt Level and Coverage
Financial Position Analysis
Ownership
Capital Structure
Valuation - Summary
Valuation - Ratios
Revenue to Profit Conversion
Balance Sheet
Income Statement
Cash Flow
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