ECEcopetrol demonstrates strong fundamental performance with significant dividend yields and a stable market position. The company's profitability is solid, but recent price action and some technical indicators suggest a cautious approach for short-term trading. The thematic alignment with energy transition and infrastructure is positive for long-term investors.
Ecopetrol operates in the traditional energy sector, which faces evolving dynamics due to the global energy transition. While it is a major player in oil and gas, its direct exposure to renewable energy or advanced clean technologies is limited, impacting its score on forward-looking thematic trends.
Ecopetrol exhibits strong profitability and a robust balance sheet, underpinned by healthy revenue and cash flow generation. The company's dividend yield is notably high, offering attractive income potential, although its valuation metrics suggest it is trading at a reasonable, but not deeply discounted, price.
The stock price has experienced a notable decline in the past month and year, and key moving averages are trending downwards. While some oscillators suggest oversold conditions, the overall short-term trend indicates a need for caution.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Energy Transition & Renewables | 40 |
| Commodity Price Exposure | 70 |
| Infrastructure & Logistics | 80 |
| Geopolitical Stability & Market Access | 60 |
| ESG & Social Responsibility | 50 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 90 |
| Profitability | 70 |
| Growth | 40 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 60 |
| Cash Flow | 85 |
| Dividends | 95 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 40 |
| Momentum | 65 |
| Volume Confirmation | 70 |
| Support & Resistance | 60 |
| Performance (1 Month) | 40 |
Strong EPS Beat and Positive Trends
Recent EPS estimates have been consistently beaten, with Q1 2025 showing a 42.95% positive surprise. The trend indicates improving profitability and efficient operations.
Low P/E Ratio
The trailing P/E ratio of 5.55 is significantly low, suggesting the stock may be undervalued relative to its earnings potential, especially within the energy sector.
Significant 1-Year Underperformance
The stock has experienced a 19.63% decline over the past year, indicating potential underlying issues or market sentiment shifts that could persist.
Broad Sell Signals from Moving Averages
Most Exponential and Simple Moving Averages (10-day through 200-day) are signaling 'Sell', indicating a prevailing downtrend across various timeframes, despite some short-term oscillator buy signals.
May 2025
6
Next Dividend Date
June 2025
26
Ex-Dividend Date
August 2025
13
Next Earnings Date
H: $0.52
A: $0.37
L: $0.30
H: 31714.43B
A: 30293.58B
L: 28361.00B
Ecopetrol S.A. operates as an integrated energy company. It operates through four segments: Exploration and Production; Transport and Logistics; Refining and Petrochemicals; and Electric Power Transmission and Toll Roads Concessions. The Exploration and Production segment engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas. The Transport and Logistics segment is involved in the transportation of crude oil, motor fuels, fuel oil, and other refined products, including diesel, jet, and biofuels. The Refining and Petrochemicals segment refines and processes crude oil at the Barrancabermeja and Cartagena refineries; and distributes natural gas and LPG. The Electric Power Transmission and Toll Roads Concessions segment supplies electric power transmission and information technology and telecommunications services, as well as designs, develops, constructs, operates, and maintains road and energy infrastructure projects. The company operates in Colombia, rest of South America and others, Asia, the United States, Central America and the Caribbean, and Europe. The company was formerly known as Empresa Colombiana de Petróleos and changed its name to Ecopetrol S.A. in June 2003. Ecopetrol S.A. was incorporated in 1948 and is based in Bogotá, Colombia.
9.44 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for EC have a max estimate of 14.00 and a min estimate of 7.00.