YPF$36.82
$36.7
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AI YPF Summary
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Powered by LiveAIOverall Analysis
BuyYPF Sociedad Anónima demonstrates mixed signals. Fundamentally, it shows strong recent profitability and revenue growth, supported by a solid balance sheet. However, valuation metrics suggest it may be fully priced or slightly overvalued. Technical indicators are currently mixed, with some short-term indicators showing potential weakness despite longer-term bullish trends. Thematic exposure to the energy sector, particularly oil and gas, presents both opportunities and risks depending on global energy demand and transition trends.
Thematic
YPF operates within the energy sector, specifically oil and gas exploration, production, refining, and distribution. Its performance is closely tied to commodity prices, geopolitical stability in energy-producing regions, and the global transition towards cleaner energy sources. While currently benefiting from stable energy demand, long-term thematic relevance will depend on its ability to adapt to decarbonization trends and renewable energy investments.
Fundamental
YPF demonstrates strong recent financial performance with significant improvements in profitability and revenue. The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with manageable debt levels and substantial assets. Its ability to generate positive free cash flow is a key strength, although past earnings have been volatile.
Technical
The stock is trading within its 52-week range, and recent performance has been mixed. While some longer-term moving averages suggest a bullish trend, short-term indicators like RSI and MACD present a more cautionary picture, indicating potential overbought conditions or indecision. Trading volume is generally consistent with its average.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Energy Sector Demand | 70 |
| Energy Transition | 40 |
| Geopolitical Stability (Argentina) | 50 |
| Commodity Prices | 60 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 75 |
| Profitability | 70 |
| Growth | 80 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 65 |
| Cash Flow | 75 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 70 |
| Momentum | 50 |
| Volume Confirmation | 60 |
| Support & Resistance | 75 |
AI Investing Checklist
Powered by LiveAIBullish Points (7)
Attractive P/E Ratio
The trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is 7.55, which is significantly lower than the industry average, suggesting potential undervaluation relative to its earnings.
Positive Net Margin
The company has demonstrated a positive net margin of 12.3% in the latest annual period, indicating efficient conversion of revenue into profit.
Bearish Points (7)
Negative Earnings Surprise in Recent Quarters
The company has reported significant negative earnings surprises in Q2 2025 (-56.58%) and Q1 2025 (-241.67%), raising concerns about earnings predictability and management's guidance.
Significant Debt Load
The company's total debt is $9.718 billion as of Q4 2024, with a debt-to-equity ratio implied by capital structure of potentially high if market cap is considered relative to debt. This level of debt could pose a risk in a rising interest rate environment or if cash flow generation falters.
Calendar
July 2019
9
Ex-Dividend Date
July 2019
18
Next Dividend Date
August 2025
8
Next Earnings Date
H: $0.25
A: $0.25
L: $0.25
H: 5707.15B
A: 5454.64B
L: 4924.94B
Profile
YPF Sociedad Anónima, an energy company, engages in the oil and gas upstream and downstream activities in Argentina. Its upstream operations include the exploration, exploitation, and production of crude oil, and natural gas. The company's downstream operations include petrochemical production and crude oil refining; transportation and distribution of refined and petrochemical products; commercialization of crude oil, petrochemical products, and specialties. Its gas and power operations include transportation, commercialization, and distribution of natural gas; commercial and technical operation of regasification terminals; transportation, conditioning, processing, and separation of natural gas; and power generation. The company had interests in oil and gas fields. It also had a retail distribution network and retail service stations. In addition, the company owns and operates refineries, as well as maintains terminal facilities Argentine ports. Further, it participates in power generation plants; offers diesel, fertilizers, lubricants, phytosanitary products, and ensiling bags; and supplies diesel, gasoline, fuel oil, coal, asphalts, paraffin, and sulfur, CO2, decanted oil, and aromatic extract. The company was incorporated in 1977 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Seasonals
Price Target
43.83 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for YPF have a max estimate of 55.00 and a min estimate of 33.00.
Debt Level and Coverage
Financial Position Analysis
Ownership
Capital Structure
Valuation - Summary
Valuation - Ratios
Revenue to Profit Conversion
Balance Sheet
Income Statement
Cash Flow
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