ALK$45.4
$45.7
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AI ALK Summary
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Powered by LiveAIOverall Analysis
HoldAlaska Air Group (ALK) shows a mixed investment profile. While its fundamentals are stabilizing after recent challenges, its growth prospects are moderate. Technical indicators suggest caution due to a downward trend. Thematic alignment is neutral.
Thematic
The airline industry faces headwinds from fluctuating fuel prices, economic sensitivity, and increased competition. While travel demand is recovering, the sector is not currently a strong thematic play.
Fundamental
Alaska Air Group exhibits a stable but not exceptional financial position. Profitability has improved but remains below historical highs. The company carries a significant debt load relative to its equity.
Technical
The stock is experiencing a significant downward trend across multiple timeframes, with key moving averages indicating bearish momentum. Short-term indicators suggest oversold conditions, but the overall trend is negative.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Travel Demand Recovery | 70 |
| Fuel Price Volatility | 40 |
| Economic Sensitivity | 50 |
| Fleet Modernization & Efficiency | 60 |
| Consolidation and Competition | 50 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 30 |
| Profitability | 55 |
| Growth | 65 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 35 |
| Cash Flow | 20 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 20 |
| Momentum | 50 |
| Volume Confirmation | 55 |
| Support & Resistance | 60 |
AI Investing Checklist
Powered by LiveAIBullish Points (7)
Reasonable Price-to-Earnings Ratio
The trailing P/E ratio of 20.83 is generally considered reasonable for a company in the airline industry, especially when compared to historical averages or industry peers, suggesting the stock is not excessively overvalued.
Adequate Cash Position
The company's cash and cash equivalents of $1.201 billion (as of 2024Q4) provides a buffer against short-term financial shocks and supports ongoing operations.
Bearish Points (7)
High P/E Ratio on Trailing Earnings
The trailing P/E ratio of 20.83 is relatively high when considering recent earnings, which have been volatile, suggesting investors may be paying a premium for current earnings.
Significant Debt Load
The company has total debt of $6.393 billion (as of 2024Q4), which, when combined with a relatively low net income of $141 million (TTM), could pose a risk to financial flexibility, especially in a rising interest rate environment.
Calendar
September 2015
1
Next Dividend Date
February 2020
14
Ex-Dividend Date
July 2025
24
Next Earnings Date
H: $1.44
A: $1.32
L: $1.20
H: 3.75B
A: 3.74B
L: 3.73B
Profile
Alaska Air Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates airlines. It operates through three segments: Alaska Airlines, Hawaiian Airlines, and Regional. The company offers scheduled air transportation services on Boeing jet aircraft for passengers and cargo in the United States, and in parts of Canada, Mexico, Costa Rica, Belize, Guatemala, and the Bahamas; and for passengers across a shorter distance network within the United States, Canada, and Mexico. Alaska Air Group, Inc. was founded in 1932 and is based in Seattle, Washington.
Seasonals
Price Target
63.03 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for ALK have a max estimate of 80.00 and a min estimate of 49.00.
Debt Level and Coverage
Financial Position Analysis
Ownership
Capital Structure
Valuation - Summary
Valuation - Ratios
Revenue to Profit Conversion
Balance Sheet
Income Statement
Cash Flow
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