AAL$13.46
$13.47
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Performance
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AI AAL Summary
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Powered by LiveAIOverall Analysis
HoldAmerican Airlines Group (AAL) shows mixed signals. Fundamentally, it is recovering but still burdened by significant debt. Thematic tailwinds in travel are present, but current technical indicators suggest a cautious approach due to recent price declines and bearish moving averages.
Thematic
The airline industry benefits from a strong recovery in travel demand post-pandemic. AAL is positioned to capture this growth, especially with its extensive domestic and international network. However, fuel price volatility and competitive pressures remain key considerations.
Fundamental
AAL has shown revenue growth and improved net margins in recent periods compared to the pandemic lows. However, the company carries a substantial debt load, and profitability has been inconsistent, as indicated by negative EPS estimates for Q2 2025. The current market capitalization is substantial given the negative equity.
Technical
The stock price has experienced a significant decline over the past 6 months and is trading below key moving averages. While some short-term indicators show 'Buy' or 'Neutral' signals, the overall trend appears bearish on daily and longer timeframes.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Travel Demand Recovery | 90 |
| Network and Hub Dominance | 85 |
| Fleet Modernization | 70 |
| Economic Sensitivity | 50 |
| Sustainability & ESG | 60 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 30 |
| Profitability | 60 |
| Growth | 65 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 40 |
| Cash Flow | 45 |
| Equity Position | 10 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 30 |
| Momentum | 50 |
| Short-term Indicators | 60 |
| Volume | 70 |
| Price Action | 40 |
AI Investing Checklist
Powered by LiveAIBullish Points (5)
Positive EPS Surprises
The company has exceeded earnings per share (EPS) estimates in the last four reported quarters, indicating consistent operational strength and effective cost management.
Reasonable P/E Ratio
The trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 13.64 is below the industry average of 15.5, suggesting the stock may be undervalued relative to its earnings potential.
Bearish Points (7)
High Price-to-Sales Ratio
The trailing Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio of 0.2, while seemingly low, needs context. If the industry average is significantly lower, this could indicate the market values the company's revenue less than its peers.
Negative Year-to-Date Performance
The Year-to-Date (YTD) performance of -32.59% indicates a significant decline in stock price, suggesting underlying business challenges or negative market sentiment.
Calendar
February 2020
4
Ex-Dividend Date
February 2020
19
Next Dividend Date
July 2025
24
Next Earnings Date
H: $0.21
A: $-0.02
L: $-0.27
H: 13.82B
A: 13.68B
L: 13.50B
Profile
American Airlines Group Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a network air carrier in the United States, Latin America, Atlantic, and Pacific. The company provides scheduled air transportation services for passengers and cargo through its hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Washington, D.C., as well as through partner gateways in London, Doha, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney, and Tokyo. It also operates a mainline fleet of 977 aircraft. The company was formerly known as AMR Corporation and changed its name to American Airlines Group Inc. in December 2013. American Airlines Group Inc. was founded in 1926 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.
Seasonals
Price Target
13.70 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for AAL have a max estimate of 20.00 and a min estimate of 8.00.
Debt Level and Coverage
Financial Position Analysis
Ownership
Capital Structure
Valuation - Summary
Valuation - Ratios
Revenue to Profit Conversion
Balance Sheet
Income Statement
Cash Flow
Related Companies
Powered by LiveAIWeight: 98
Primary direct competitor in the U.S. domestic and international airline market, sharing routes and competing for passengers and market share.
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Primary direct competitor in the U.S. domestic and international airline market, rivaling AAL in key hubs and global network reach.
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Major U.S. domestic competitor known for its low-cost model and point-to-point network, putting pricing pressure on AAL's domestic routes.
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One of the primary global manufacturers of commercial aircraft; AAL is a significant customer for Boeing's fleet. Their business cycles are intertwined.