VVVValvoline Inc. shows solid fundamental strength with consistent profitability and a manageable debt level. Thematic alignment is moderate, while technical indicators suggest a cautious approach due to recent price declines.
Valvoline benefits from the ongoing demand for vehicle maintenance and the growing automotive aftermarket. However, it is less directly exposed to high-growth digital transformation themes compared to other sectors.
Valvoline demonstrates strong profitability and a healthy balance sheet. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, but margins remain robust.
The stock has experienced a significant price decline over the past year, with current technical indicators showing mixed signals. Momentum is weak, and the stock is trading below key moving averages.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Automotive Aftermarket Demand | 80 |
| EV Transition Impact | 50 |
| Franchise Model Strength | 70 |
| Brand Recognition | 85 |
| Competitive Landscape | 60 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 70 |
| Profitability | 85 |
| Growth | 60 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 40 |
| Cash Flow | 50 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 30 |
| Momentum | 50 |
| Volume Confirmation | 55 |
| Support & Resistance | 70 |
| Short-Term Performance | 40 |
Strong EPS Surprise Trend
Valvoline Inc. has a history of exceeding earnings expectations, with positive EPS surprises in 7 out of the last 8 reported quarters. Notably, the Q2 2023 surprise was a significant 2490.58%.
Attractive P/E Ratio for TTM
The trailing twelve months (TTM) Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is 20.3, which, when considering the EPS TTM of $2.06 and the company's business, may present a reasonable entry point relative to its earnings.
High Quarterly P/E Ratios
Recent quarterly P/E ratios are significantly elevated (e.g., Q1 2025 at 117.7, Q4 2024 at 50.2), suggesting the stock may be overvalued based on current quarterly earnings.
Slowing Net Margin
Net margin has significantly decreased from 40.5% in Q3 2021 to 13.1% in Q3 2024, indicating potential pressure on profitability relative to revenue.
December 2022
1
Ex-Dividend Date
December 2022
15
Next Dividend Date
August 2025
6
Next Earnings Date
H: $0.49
A: $0.45
L: $0.43
H: 441.00M
A: 436.37M
L: 427.60M
Valvoline Inc. engages in the operation and franchising of vehicle service centers and retail stores in the United States and Canada. The company, through its service centers, provides fluid exchange for motor oil, transmission and differential fluid, and coolant; parts replacement for batteries, filters, wiper blades, and belts; and safety services, such as tire inflation and rotation, bulbs, and safety checks. It offers its services for passenger cars, hybrid and battery electric vehicles, and light and medium duty vehicles. The company was founded in 1866 and is headquartered in Lexington, Kentucky.
42.62 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for VVV have a max estimate of 48.00 and a min estimate of 37.00.