AESThe AES Corporation exhibits mixed signals. It has a strong dividend yield and stable operations, but faces challenges with recent free cash flow and a slightly elevated debt-to-equity ratio. Thematic exposure to energy transition is positive, but technicals are mixed. Consider for income-focused portfolios or on dips.
AES is involved in power generation and utility services, benefiting from the global energy transition and demand for reliable power. Its diverse generation portfolio, including renewables and energy storage, positions it to capitalize on long-term secular trends.
AES shows a strong dividend yield and improving EPS estimates, but its revenue and net income have been volatile, and free cash flow has been negative recently. Debt levels are substantial, although coverage appears manageable.
The stock is trading below its 52-week high and has experienced some recent price declines. While there are some bullish indicators on shorter timeframes, the overall trend appears neutral to slightly bearish.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Energy Transition & Renewables | 85 |
| Utility Infrastructure & Reliability | 75 |
| Energy Storage Solutions | 80 |
| Geographic Diversification | 70 |
| Regulatory & Policy Landscape | 50 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 70 |
| Profitability | 75 |
| Growth | 30 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 40 |
| Cash Flow | 15 |
| Dividend | 85 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 40 |
| Momentum | 60 |
| Volume Confirmation | 65 |
| Support & Resistance | 50 |
| Moving Averages | 70 |
Attractive Valuation Metrics
The Price-to-Earnings (P/E) TTM ratio of 7.5 and Price-to-Sales (P/S) TTM ratio of 1.1 are relatively low, suggesting the stock may be undervalued compared to its historical averages and industry peers.
Positive Earnings Surprises
The company has consistently beaten earnings estimates in several recent quarters (e.g., Q1 2025 surprise of 57.28%, Q4 2024 surprise of 11.15%), indicating strong operational execution and forecasting accuracy.
Overbought Signals in Short-Term Timeframes
On the 5-minute timeframe, indicators like Stochastic %K and Stochastic RSI Fast are showing 'Sell' or high values (e.g., 87.5%, 85.27%), suggesting the stock might be overextended in the very short term.
Negative Free Cash Flow
The company has consistently reported negative free cash flow in recent years (e.g., -$4.64 billion in 2024), which may hinder its ability to fund operations, investments, or debt repayment without external financing.
August 2025
1
Ex-Dividend Date
August 2025
1
Next Earnings Date
H: $0.55
A: $0.43
L: $0.32
H: 3.25B
A: 3.04B
L: 2.87B
August 2025
15
Next Dividend Date
The AES Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a power generation and utility company in the United States and internationally. The company owns and/or operates power plants to generate and sell power to customers, such as utilities, industrial users, and other intermediaries; owns and/or operates utilities to generate or purchase, distribute, transmit, and sell electricity to end-user customers in the residential, commercial, industrial, and governmental sectors; and generates and sells electricity on the wholesale market. It uses various fuels and technologies to generate electricity, such as coal, gas, hydro, wind, solar, and biomass, as well as renewables comprising energy storage and landfill gas. The company owns and/or operates a generation portfolio of approximately 32,109 megawatts and distributes power to 2.7 million customers. The company was formerly known as Applied Energy Services, Inc. and changed its name to The AES Corporation in April 2000. The AES Corporation was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia.
13.72 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for AES have a max estimate of 23.00 and a min estimate of 5.00.