VALE$12.5158
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Powered by LiveAIOverall Analysis
BuyVale S.A. presents a strong fundamental case with robust profitability and a solid balance sheet, supported by significant dividend payouts. While thematic tailwinds in energy transition materials are positive, the company's valuation appears attractive due to its cyclical nature in iron ore and nickel. Technical indicators are mixed, suggesting potential short-term volatility but a generally stable long-term trend.
Thematic
Vale is well-positioned in commodities crucial for the energy transition (nickel, copper). However, its primary reliance on iron ore makes it susceptible to commodity cycles and global demand fluctuations. Emerging trends like sustainable mining practices are important growth drivers.
Fundamental
Vale demonstrates strong profitability with a healthy net profit margin and robust revenue generation. Its balance sheet is managed prudently with manageable debt levels relative to its assets. The company also offers an attractive dividend yield, reflecting its strong cash flow generation.
Technical
Short-term technical indicators suggest a mixed to slightly bearish outlook, with the price trading below key moving averages on shorter timeframes and some oscillators indicating selling pressure. However, the longer-term trend appears more stable, with the price still above the 200-day moving average.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Energy Transition Materials (Nickel, Copper) | 85 |
| Commodity Price Volatility (Iron Ore) | 50 |
| ESG & Sustainable Mining | 70 |
| Geopolitical Risks | 65 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 75 |
| Profitability | 80 |
| Growth | 40 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 70 |
| Cash Flow | 75 |
| Dividends | 85 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 40 |
| Momentum | 60 |
| Volume Confirmation | 70 |
| Support & Resistance | 70 |
| Oscillators | 55 |
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Powered by LiveAIBullish Points (7)
Attractive Valuation
The Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is 7.41, which is lower than the industry average, suggesting the stock may be undervalued relative to its earnings.
Solid Profitability
The company has shown consistent net income growth and a healthy net margin of 16.2% in the latest annual period, indicating strong operational efficiency.
Bearish Points (7)
Missed Earnings Estimates
The company has missed earnings estimates in several recent quarters, notably Q1 2025 with a surprise of -133.56%, indicating potential operational challenges or inaccurate forecasting.
High Price-to-Sales (P/S) Ratio
The TTM P/S ratio of 1.6 is higher than the 2021 P/S ratio of 0.8, suggesting that the market is valuing sales more highly, which could be a risk if revenue growth slows.
Calendar
March 2025
10
Ex-Dividend Date
March 2025
21
Next Dividend Date
July 2025
24
Next Earnings Date
H: $0.44
A: $0.37
L: $0.33
H: 9.63B
A: 8.88B
L: 8.63B
Profile
Vale S.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells iron ore, iron ore pellets, nickel, and copper in Brazil and internationally. The company operates through Iron Solutions and Energy Transition Materials segments. The Iron Solutions segment produces and extracts iron ore and pellets, and other ferrous products; and provides related logistic services. The Energy Transition Materials segment produces and extracts nickel; and its by-products, such as gold, silver, cobalt, precious metals, and others, as well as copper used in the construction sector to produce pipes and electrical wires. The company was formerly known as Companhia Vale do Rio Doce and changed its name to Vale S.A. in May 2009. Vale S.A. was founded in 1942 and is headquartered in Rio De Janeiro, Brazil.
Seasonals
Price Target
12.20 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for VALE have a max estimate of 15.50 and a min estimate of 8.00.
Debt Level and Coverage
Financial Position Analysis
Ownership
Capital Structure
Valuation - Summary
Valuation - Ratios
Revenue to Profit Conversion
Balance Sheet
Income Statement
Cash Flow
Related Companies
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