TOLToll Brothers presents a mixed investment profile, with solid fundamental performance in a cyclical industry, supported by strategic growth initiatives. Technical indicators suggest current weakness, while market sentiment is cautiously optimistic. Investors should weigh the cyclical nature of homebuilding against Toll Brothers' strong execution.
Toll Brothers operates within the housing market, influenced by interest rates, economic growth, and demographic trends. While long-term housing demand is supported by population growth and household formation, short-term headwinds from higher interest rates and inflation create a neutral thematic outlook.
Toll Brothers demonstrates robust profitability and a healthy balance sheet, though recent performance shows cyclical pressures. Strong P/E and P/S ratios indicate market confidence, but investors should monitor future earnings guidance.
Recent price action shows a downward trend, with the stock trading below key moving averages. Oscillators suggest bearish momentum, but support levels exist that could halt further declines.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Housing Market Cycles | 50 |
| Demographic Trends | 80 |
| Urbanization & Suburbanization Trends | 60 |
| Affordability & Economic Conditions | 55 |
| Sustainability & ESG | 70 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 75 |
| Valuation | 70 |
| Profitability | 85 |
| Growth | 70 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 80 |
| Cash Flow | 75 |
| Dividend Yield | 45 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 30 |
| Trend Analysis | 35 |
| Momentum | 40 |
| Momentum | 45 |
| Support & Resistance | 50 |
| Volume Confirmation | 50 |
Attractive Valuation Metrics
The trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is 9.12, which is significantly lower than the industry average, suggesting potential undervaluation. The Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio of 1.1 is also attractive.
Consistent Earnings Growth
The company has a history of beating earnings estimates, with positive surprises in the last four reported quarters, indicating strong operational performance and effective management.
Recent Price Decline
The stock has experienced a recent price drop of -3.26% in a single day and a -11.35% decline over the past year, suggesting potential short-term headwinds or market sentiment shifts.
Elevated Quarterly P/E Ratios
Some quarterly P/E ratios (e.g., Q2 2025 at 28.0, Q1 2025 at 74.7) appear high relative to historical annual averages, potentially indicating overvaluation based on near-term earnings expectations.
July 2025
11
Ex-Dividend Date
July 2025
25
Next Dividend Date
August 2025
20
Next Earnings Date
H: $3.88
A: $3.59
L: $3.40
H: 2.92B
A: 2.86B
L: 2.82B
Toll Brothers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, builds, markets, sells, and arranges finance for a range of detached and attached homes in luxury residential communities in the United States. It designs, builds, markets, and sells condominiums through Toll Brothers City Living. The company also develops a range of single-story living and first-floor primary bedroom suite home designs, as well as communities with recreational amenities, such as golf courses, marinas, pool complexes, country clubs, and fitness and recreation centers; and develops, operates, and rents apartments. In addition, it provides various interior fit-out options, such as flooring, wall tile, plumbing, cabinets, fixtures, appliances, lighting, and home-automation and security technologies. Further, the company owns and operates architectural, engineering, mortgage, title, land development, insurance, smart home technology, landscaping, lumber distribution, house component assembly, and component manufacturing operations. It serves luxury first-time, move-up, empty-nester, active-adult, and second-home buyers. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Fort Washington, Pennsylvania.
141.18 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for TOL have a max estimate of 183.00 and a min estimate of 92.00.