TLN$409.8
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Powered by LiveAIOverall Analysis
BuyTalen Energy Corporation demonstrates a mixed investment profile. Fundamentally, the company has shown significant improvements in profitability and revenue conversion. However, its valuation metrics are currently demanding, and technical indicators suggest a period of potential consolidation. Thematic exposure to the energy sector, particularly with a focus on power generation, remains relevant.
Thematic
Talen Energy operates in the essential utility and power generation sector. Its independent power producer model and diversified power plant infrastructure (nuclear, fossil, oil, natural gas) position it to benefit from ongoing demand for electricity and potential shifts in energy sources. The company's focus on producing and selling electricity and capacity in wholesale markets aligns with the broader energy transition theme, though specific competitive advantages and regulatory impacts need continuous monitoring.
Fundamental
Talen Energy has demonstrated a significant turnaround in profitability, as evidenced by the positive net income in recent periods and improved net margins. The company's revenue to profit conversion appears strong. While debt levels have been a concern, recent data suggests a reduction, and cash flow generation, though fluctuating, shows positive signs. The balance sheet shows a substantial increase in equity in 2024, indicating improved financial health.
Technical
The stock has experienced significant price appreciation over the past year, indicated by strong 1-year and YTD performance. However, current technical indicators, particularly moving averages across multiple timeframes (1m, 5m, 15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, 4h, 1d) and oscillators like RSI and Stochastic %K, suggest that the stock is nearing or in overbought territory and facing resistance. This points to a potential for a short-term price correction or consolidation.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Energy Transition | 75 |
| Infrastructure Investment | 80 |
| Market Position | 65 |
| ESG Considerations | 50 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 30 |
| Profitability | 70 |
| Growth | 60 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 50 |
| Cash Flow | 65 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 90 |
| Momentum | 60 |
| Moving Averages | 55 |
| Support & Resistance | 70 |
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Powered by LiveAIBullish Points (7)
Strong Recent EPS Surprise
The company has exceeded EPS estimates in the last three reported quarters, with the most recent surprise at 1692.31% for Q1 2025.
Significant Short-Term and Long-Term Gains
The stock has shown robust performance over various periods, with a 1-year return of 198.36% and a 6-month return of 76.5%.
Bearish Points (7)
High TTM P/E Ratio
The trailing twelve months (TTM) Price-to-Earnings ratio is 134.2, which is significantly high and may indicate overvaluation based on current earnings.
Negative EPS Surprise in Latest Quarter
Despite past successes, the company reported a negative EPS surprise of -346.37% in Q2 2025, indicating a significant miss on earnings expectations.
Calendar
August 2025
7
Next Earnings Date
H: $1.00
A: $0.20
L: $-0.59
H: 583.00M
A: 478.48M
L: 385.00M
Profile
Talen Energy Corporation, an independent power producer and infrastructure company, produces and sells electricity, capacity, and ancillary services into wholesale power markets in the United States. The company operates nuclear, fossil, oil, natural gas, and coal power plants. The company owns and operates approximately 10.7 GW of power infrastructure. Talen Energy Corporation was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Seasonals
Price Target
352.42 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for TLN have a max estimate of 425.00 and a min estimate of 262.73.