TDA fundamentally sound financial institution with a solid dividend yield and moderate growth prospects. Technically, the stock is showing signs of recent weakness but remains in a long-term uptrend. Thematic exposure to diversified financial services is neutral to positive.
As a diversified financial services provider, TD Bank is exposed to various economic cycles. Current themes include a cautious outlook on interest rate sensitivity and a steady demand for banking services.
TD Bank exhibits strong profitability, a robust balance sheet, and a consistent dividend payout. Valuation metrics are attractive, particularly the P/E ratio. Growth in revenue and net income shows a steady upward trend.
The stock is currently trading below recent highs and exhibits mixed signals across different timeframes. While the long-term trend remains positive, short-term momentum indicators suggest caution.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Interest Rate Sensitivity | 50 |
| Digital Transformation | 70 |
| Economic Stability (Canada/US) | 65 |
| Regulatory Landscape | 75 |
| Geopolitical Stability | 60 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 85 |
| Profitability | 80 |
| Growth | 75 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 90 |
| Cash Flow | 85 |
| Dividends | 95 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 60 |
| Momentum | 60 |
| Support & Resistance | 70 |
| Moving Averages | 80 |
| Volume | 70 |
Strong Earnings Momentum
Recent quarterly EPS estimates have consistently been beaten, with the latest quarter showing a 10.67% positive surprise (reported $1.97 vs. estimate $1.78). This trend suggests effective operational management and market responsiveness.
Undervalued Relative to Earnings
The trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.62 is low compared to historical averages and industry peers, suggesting potential undervaluation given its earnings performance.
Potential Overvaluation in Short Term
Some short-term P/E ratios (e.g., 35.2 for Q1 2025) appear high, suggesting that certain analyst expectations for the near future might be overly optimistic, posing a risk of price correction if growth targets are missed.
Slowing Revenue Growth Trajectory
While annual revenue has grown, the quarterly net income has shown volatility and a decline in net margin from 38.1% in 2022 to 15.7% in 2024, indicating potential pressure on profitability.
July 2025
10
Ex-Dividend Date
July 2025
31
Next Dividend Date
August 2025
28
Next Earnings Date
H: $2.18
A: $2.02
L: $1.88
H: 13.87B
A: 13.73B
L: 13.60B
The Toronto-Dominion Bank, together with its subsidiaries, provides various financial products and services in Canada, the United States, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking, U.S. Retail, Wealth Management and Insurance, and Wholesale Banking. The company offers personal deposits, such as chequing, savings, and investment products; financing, investment, cash management, international trade, and day-to-day banking services to businesses; and financing options to customers at point of sale for automotive and recreational vehicle purchases. It also provides credit cards and payments; real estate secured lending, auto finance, and consumer lending services; point-of-sale payment solutions for large and small businesses; wealth and asset management products, and advice to retail and institutional clients through direct investing, advice-based, and asset management businesses; and property and casualty insurance, as well as life and health insurance products. The company also provides capital markets, and corporate and investment banking products and services, including underwriting and distribution of new debt and equity issues; advice on strategic acquisitions and divestitures; and trading, funding, and investment services to corporations, governments, and institutions. The Toronto-Dominion Bank was founded in 1855 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
71.01 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for TD have a max estimate of 75.16 and a min estimate of 66.02.