PZZA$33.95
$33.8515
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AI PZZA Summary
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Powered by LiveAIOverall Analysis
BuyPapa John's shows mixed signals. Fundamentally, it offers a decent dividend yield and consistent profitability, but the current valuation and recent price performance suggest caution. Technical indicators are mixed, leaning towards a potential short-term correction.
Thematic
The quick-service restaurant industry, particularly pizza delivery, is mature with moderate growth potential. While Papa John's operates in a stable sector, it lacks strong disruptive thematic tailwinds.
Fundamental
Papa John's demonstrates reasonable profitability and a stable dividend. The company's valuation metrics are within a reasonable range, and its balance sheet shows manageable debt levels. However, revenue growth has been inconsistent.
Technical
The stock price has experienced a significant decline recently. While some short-term indicators suggest potential for a bounce, the longer-term moving averages indicate a bearish trend.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Food Delivery Market | 50 |
| Franchise Model Efficiency | 40 |
| Consumer Spending Trends | 35 |
| Digital Transformation | 45 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 65 |
| Profitability | 60 |
| Growth | 30 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 45 |
| Cash Flow | 70 |
| Dividends | 85 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 40 |
| Momentum | 55 |
| Volume Confirmation | 50 |
| Support & Resistance | 75 |
| Short-term Oscillators | 80 |
AI Investing Checklist
Powered by LiveAIBullish Points (6)
Positive EPS Surprises
The company has exceeded earnings per share (EPS) estimates in 7 of the last 12 reported quarters, indicating consistent operational execution and potentially under-promising and over-delivering.
Strong Debt Coverage
The company's debt is covered by free cash flow, with the debt to free cash flow ratio at 28.43 for the last fiscal year, suggesting a healthy ability to service its debt obligations.
Bearish Points (8)
High Price-to-Sales Ratio
The trailing Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio of 0.9 is on the higher side, and while not excessively high, it suggests that the market values each dollar of sales at a premium, potentially indicating growth expectations that are already priced in.
Slowing Revenue Growth
The revenue growth has decelerated from 5.8% net margin in 2021 to 4.1% in 2024, indicating a potential slowdown in top-line growth or pressure on margins.
Calendar
May 2025
19
Ex-Dividend Date
May 2025
30
Next Dividend Date
August 2025
7
Next Earnings Date
H: $0.51
A: $0.36
L: $0.27
H: 525.00M
A: 515.48M
L: 506.00M
Profile
Papa John's International, Inc. operates and franchises pizza delivery and carryout restaurants under the Papa Johns trademark in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Domestic Company-Owned Restaurants, North America Franchising, North America Commissaries, and International. The company also operates dine-in and delivery restaurants under the Papa Johns trademark internationally. It offers pizza and other food and beverage products. In addition, the company supplies pizza sauce, dough, food products, paper products, smallware, and cleaning supplies to restaurants. Papa John's International, Inc. was founded in 1984 and is based in Louisville, Kentucky.
Seasonals
Price Target
46.70 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for PZZA have a max estimate of 60.00 and a min estimate of 38.00.
Debt Level and Coverage
Financial Position Analysis
Ownership
Capital Structure
Valuation - Summary
Valuation - Ratios
Revenue to Profit Conversion
Balance Sheet
Income Statement
Cash Flow
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