PAASPan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) presents a mixed but generally positive investment profile. Fundamentally, it shows improving profitability and strong cash flow generation. Thematic exposure to precious metals and mining offers diversification benefits. However, current technical indicators suggest some short-term caution is warranted due to recent price movements and momentum indicators.
Pan American Silver is well-positioned within the precious metals and mining sector. Its focus on silver and gold, along with strategic expansion into other base metals, aligns with potential inflation hedges and industrial demand trends. ESG considerations are increasingly important in the mining sector, and PAAS's efforts in this area will be a key differentiator.
Pan American Silver exhibits improving financial health. Recent quarters show a significant turnaround in earnings and net margins, moving from losses to profitability. The balance sheet is robust, with manageable debt and growing cash reserves. Valuation metrics, particularly P/E, are elevated but can be justified by the strong recent performance and future growth prospects in commodities.
The stock has shown strong performance over the past 6 months and year (35% and 38% respectively). However, current daily technical indicators suggest a neutral to slightly cautious stance. RSI is in neutral territory, while many moving averages signal 'Sell', indicating potential short-term consolidation or a pause in the upward trend.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Precious Metals Demand | 85 |
| Industrial Demand for Silver | 80 |
| Mining Sector ESG Trends | 70 |
| Geographic Diversification | 75 |
| Commodity Price Volatility | 70 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 55 |
| Profitability | 70 |
| Growth | 70 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 75 |
| Cash Flow | 85 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 50 |
| Momentum | 65 |
| Volume Confirmation | 75 |
| Support & Resistance | 80 |
| Short-term Performance | 60 |
Positive Earnings Surprises
The company has demonstrated a strong trend of beating earnings per share (EPS) estimates, with significant positive surprises in recent quarters (e.g., +117.77% in Q2 2025, +61.07% in Q4 2024). This indicates robust operational performance and effective management in meeting or exceeding financial expectations.
Improving Net Profit Margins
Despite some volatility, the net profit margin has shown improvement, reaching 21.8% in Q1 2025, a significant increase from -5.1% in Q1 2024. This suggests a strengthening ability to convert revenue into profit.
High Quarterly P/S Ratio
The Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio for Q1 2025 is 12.1, which is considerably higher than the TTM P/S of 4.6. This suggests a potential overvaluation based on recent quarterly performance, warranting caution.
Negative Earnings Surprises in Some Quarters
While there have been strong positive surprises, the company also experienced negative EPS surprises in some quarters (e.g., -1.53% in Q1 2025, -29.64% in Q4 2024). This indicates inconsistency in meeting earnings expectations.
May 2025
20
Ex-Dividend Date
June 2025
2
Next Dividend Date
August 2025
7
Next Earnings Date
H: $0.42
A: $0.40
L: $0.36
H: 775.74M
A: 772.37M
L: 769.00M
Pan American Silver Corp. engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and reclamation of mines in Canada, Mexico, Peru, Bolivia, Argentina, Chile, and Brazil. It explores for silver, gold, zinc, lead, and copper deposits. The company was formerly known as Pan American Minerals Corp. and changed its name to Pan American Silver Corp. in April 1995. Pan American Silver Corp. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
36.02 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for PAAS have a max estimate of 46.00 and a min estimate of 32.00.