NTR$60.01
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Powered by LiveAIOverall Analysis
BuyNutrien Ltd. shows strong fundamental performance and positive thematic alignment in the agriculture sector. While recent technicals indicate some consolidation, the long-term outlook remains favorable.
Thematic
Nutrien is well-positioned to benefit from long-term growth trends in global food demand, sustainable agriculture, and the increasing adoption of precision farming techniques.
Fundamental
Nutrien demonstrates robust financial health with consistent revenue generation, healthy profitability, and a strong balance sheet, although recent earnings performance has shown some volatility.
Technical
The stock is trading within a defined range, with mixed signals from technical indicators. Short-term momentum appears weak, but longer-term trends remain relatively stable.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Global Food Security | 90 |
| Sustainable Agriculture & ESG | 85 |
| Precision Agriculture Adoption | 80 |
| Commodity Price Cycles | 75 |
| Regulatory Landscape | 80 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 40 |
| Profitability | 70 |
| Growth | 55 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 85 |
| Cash Flow | 75 |
| Dividend Yield | 80 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 65 |
| Momentum | 70 |
| Volume Confirmation | 70 |
| Support & Resistance | 75 |
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Powered by LiveAIBullish Points (6)
Improving Earnings Momentum
While recent quarterly EPS estimates have been missed (e.g., Q2 2025 estimate $0.31 vs reported $0.11, Q1 2025 estimate $0.35 vs reported $0.31), the trend in the last few quarters of 2024 shows positive surprises (e.g., Q3 2024 estimate $2.19 vs reported $2.34, Q2 2024 estimate $0.37 vs reported $0.46). This suggests a potential turnaround in earnings predictability.
Attractive Valuation for Growth
The TTM P/E ratio of 56.88 is high, but the forward P/E ratios implied by recent earnings misses and potential future recovery could bring this down. Looking at the annual P/E, 2022 showed a very low P/E of 3.8, indicating significant cyclicality. The current P/E of 207.7 (TTM) is very high, suggesting future growth expectations are already priced in. However, comparing to 2022's P/E suggests potential for normalization if earnings rebound.
Bearish Points (7)
Significant Earnings Misses
The company has reported significant misses against analyst estimates in multiple recent quarters, particularly in Q2 2025 (-65.01% surprise) and Q1 2025 (-12.13% surprise), and Q4 2024 (-13.89% surprise). This suggests challenges in meeting financial expectations or forecasting accuracy.
High P/E Ratio and Potential Overvaluation
The TTM P/E ratio of 56.88 is exceptionally high, and the quarterly P/E ratios are also very elevated (e.g., 2201.2 in Q1 2025). This indicates that the stock is trading at a significant premium relative to its current earnings, potentially suggesting overvaluation unless future earnings growth is exceptionally strong and consistent.
Calendar
June 2025
30
Ex-Dividend Date
July 2025
18
Next Dividend Date
August 2025
7
Next Earnings Date
H: $2.59
A: $2.41
L: $2.18
H: 10.88B
A: 10.45B
L: 10.10B
Profile
Nutrien Ltd. provides crop inputs and services. The company operates through four segments: Nutrien Ag Solutions, Potash, Nitrogen, and Phosphate. The Nutrien Ag Solutions segment distributes crop nutrients, crop protection products, seeds, and merchandise products; product application, soil and leaf testing, crop scouting, precision agriculture, water, and brokerage agency services; and financing solutions. The Potash segment provides granular and standard potash products. The Nitrogen segment offers ammonia, urea, environmentally smart nitrogen, nitrogen solutions, nitrates, and sulfates. The Phosphate segment provides solid fertilizer, liquid fertilizer, and industrial and feed products. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Saskatoon, Canada.
Seasonals
Price Target
64.87 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for NTR have a max estimate of 75.00 and a min estimate of 52.00.
Debt Level and Coverage
Financial Position Analysis
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Capital Structure
Valuation - Summary
Valuation - Ratios
Revenue to Profit Conversion
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