NGGNational Grid plc shows strong fundamental stability and moderate thematic alignment, with current technicals indicating a cautious outlook. Suitable for income-focused and defensive portfolios.
National Grid is positioned in the essential utilities sector, benefiting from energy transition and infrastructure modernization themes, but faces moderate headwinds from regulatory scrutiny.
National Grid demonstrates robust financial health with consistent dividend payouts and stable revenue, supported by critical infrastructure assets, though recent free cash flow has been negative.
The stock is trading below key moving averages, and momentum indicators suggest downward pressure, indicating a potentially bearish short-term outlook.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Energy Transition & Infrastructure | 75 |
| ESG & Sustainability | 70 |
| Regulatory Environment | 40 |
| Market Stability & Essential Services | 80 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 70 |
| Profitability | 75 |
| Growth | 55 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 70 |
| Cash Flow | 45 |
| Dividend | 90 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 30 |
| Momentum | 50 |
| Volume | 60 |
| Support & Resistance | 50 |
| Oscillators | 30 |
Strong Revenue and Net Income Growth
Q1 2025 revenue of $18.38 billion shows a robust increase, and net income of $2.90 billion represents a significant jump from previous periods, indicating strong operational performance and potentially expanding margins.
Attractive P/E Ratio
The trailing P/E ratio of 17.92 (TTM) is reasonable for a utility company, especially considering its stable business model and dividend yield, suggesting potential undervaluation compared to growth stocks.
High Debt Levels and Negative Free Cash Flow
The company carries a substantial debt of $47.54 billion (Q1 2025) and has generated negative free cash flow (-$2.5 billion) in Q1 2025, suggesting a reliance on external financing and potential pressure on its ability to service debt if earnings falter.
Declining Margins
Net margin has significantly decreased from 36.0% in Q1 2023 to 15.8% in Q1 2025, indicating potential margin compression due to rising costs or increased competition impacting profitability.
May 2025
15
Next Earnings Date
H: $
A: $
L: $
May 2025
30
Ex-Dividend Date
July 2025
17
Next Dividend Date
National Grid plc engages in the transmission and distribution of electricity and gas. It operates through UK Electricity Transmission, UK Electricity Distribution, New England, New York, National Grid Ventures, and Other segments. The UK Electricity Transmission segment provides electricity transmission networks in England and Wales. The UK Electricity Distribution segment offers electricity distribution services in east and west Midlands, Southwest of England, and South Wales. The New England segment provides electricity and gas supply and distribution, and high-voltage electricity transmission services in New England. The New York segment offers electricity and gas distribution, and electricity transmission services in New York. The National Grid Ventures segment provides transmission services through electricity interconnectors and LNG importation at the Isle of Grain. The Other segment engages in the leasing and sale of commercial property, as well as insurance activities in the United Kingdom. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
79.45 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for NGG have a max estimate of 84.32 and a min estimate of 74.00.