MOSThe Mosaic Company shows solid fundamental performance with moderate growth potential and a stable dividend. Its position in the fertilizer market is supported by global food demand trends, but it faces industry cyclicality and operational risks. Technically, the stock is showing mixed signals.
Mosaic is tied to the essential theme of global agriculture and food security. Increasing global population and demand for higher crop yields provide a long-term tailwind. However, the sector is subject to commodity price volatility and environmental regulations.
Mosaic demonstrates a strong financial position with significant assets and a manageable debt level. Profitability has been variable, reflecting industry cycles, but the company maintains a solid balance sheet and generates consistent cash flow.
The stock is trading in a generally upward trend, with price action above key long-term moving averages. However, some shorter-term indicators suggest a potential for consolidation or a minor pullback.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Global Food Demand | 80 |
| Commodity Price Volatility | 50 |
| ESG & Sustainable Agriculture | 60 |
| Resource Availability | 70 |
| Geopolitical Factors | 40 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 65 |
| Profitability | 55 |
| Growth | 40 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 80 |
| Cash Flow | 50 |
| Dividend Yield | 70 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 75 |
| Momentum | 60 |
| Volume Confirmation | 70 |
| Support & Resistance | 70 |
| Short-term Indicators | 55 |
Attractive P/E Ratio
The trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 22.4 is reasonable given the company's historical performance and industry comparables, suggesting potential undervaluation if earnings remain stable or grow.
Positive Net Income and Margin
The company reported a Net Income of $529.3 million for the Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) with a Net Margin of 6.4%, indicating healthy profitability.
High Forward P/E Ratio
The forward P/E ratio for 2025 is estimated to be higher than the trailing P/E, potentially indicating that future earnings growth may be slower than expected or that the stock is becoming overvalued.
Declining Earnings Per Share (EPS) Estimates
Recent quarterly EPS estimates have shown negative surprises (e.g., Q1 2025 estimate vs. reported), and some forward estimates have been revised downwards, suggesting potential headwinds to profitability.
June 2025
5
Ex-Dividend Date
June 2025
19
Next Dividend Date
August 2025
6
Next Earnings Date
H: $0.82
A: $0.72
L: $0.57
H: 3.41B
A: 3.14B
L: 2.92B
The Mosaic Company, through its subsidiaries, produces and markets concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients in the United States, Brazil, China, Canada, Paraguay, Argentina, Japan, Colombia, India, Australia, Peru, Mexico, Honduras, the Dominican Republic, Thailand, Indonesia, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Phosphates, Potash, and Mosaic Fertilizantes. The company owns and operates mines and production facilities, which produce concentrated phosphate crop nutrients, such as diammonium phosphate, monoammonium phosphate, and MicroEssentials ammoniated phosphate products; and phosphate based animal feed ingredients under the Biofos and Nexfos brands, as well as produces a double sulfate of potash magnesia product under the K-Mag brand. It also produces and sells potash for use in the manufacturing of mixed crop nutrients and animal feed ingredients, and for industrial use; and for use in the deicing and as a water softener regenerant. In addition, the company provides blended crop nutrients for agricultural use; triple superphosphate, single superphosphate, and dicalcium phosphate; and biological fertilizer complements, industrial products, and other ancillary services. Further, it owns and operates chemical plants, crop nutrient blending and bagging facilities, port terminals, and warehouses; distributes nitrogen based crop nutrients and phosphogypsum; and purchases and sells phosphates, potash, and nitrogen products. The company sells its products to distributors, retail chains, cooperatives, independent retailers and dealers, industrial accounts, animal feed industry, wholesalers, farmers, crop nutrient manufacturers, and national accounts through its sales force. It also exports its products. The Mosaic Company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Tampa, Florida.
39.83 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for MOS have a max estimate of 49.00 and a min estimate of 27.00.