MCW$6.10
$6.09
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Performance
Key Stats
AI MCW Summary
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Powered by LiveAIOverall Analysis
HoldMister Car Wash shows a mixed investment profile. Fundamentally, its consistent revenue and profitability are positive, but debt levels and recent performance trends warrant consideration. Technical indicators suggest a bearish short-term outlook, while its thematic positioning in a stable consumer service sector offers some resilience. It's a HOLD for investors who value stability and are comfortable with current valuation metrics, but not a strong buy given the current headwinds.
Thematic
Mister Car Wash operates in the car wash industry, a relatively stable consumer service sector. The demand for car washes is generally resilient to economic downturns, providing a degree of defensive quality. However, it lacks exposure to high-growth, disruptive technology themes.
Fundamental
Mister Car Wash demonstrates solid revenue and EPS growth historically, but the latest data shows a significant dip in profitability and increased debt. The P/E ratio is high given the recent performance, and free cash flow has turned negative. This indicates potential challenges in managing costs and debt while expanding.
Technical
Technical indicators across various timeframes (1m to 4h) are predominantly bearish. Moving averages indicate a downtrend, and most oscillators suggest selling pressure or oversold conditions, with RSI values generally below 50. This suggests potential for further price declines in the short to medium term.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Consumer Staples & Services | 75 |
| Market Saturation & Competition | 50 |
| Technology Adoption (e.g., AI, IoT) | 40 |
| Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) | 65 |
| Brand Loyalty & Subscription Models | 80 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 45 |
| Profitability | 40 |
| Growth | 65 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 35 |
| Cash Flow | 20 |
| Earnings Surprise | 70 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 30 |
| Momentum | 35 |
| Support & Resistance | 45 |
| Oscillators | 30 |
| Volume Trends | 40 |
AI Investing Checklist
Powered by LiveAIBullish Points (6)
Positive Earnings Surprises
The company has consistently beaten earnings per share (EPS) estimates in recent quarters, with a positive surprise rate of 75% over the last four quarters. This indicates strong operational execution and forecasting accuracy.
Undervalued Relative to Industry Peers
The current Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 26.67 is below the industry average of 30.5, suggesting that the stock may be undervalued compared to its peers, offering potential for price appreciation.
Bearish Points (8)
High Price-to-Sales Ratio
The Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio of 2.7 is relatively high compared to its TTM P/S of 2.7, and the historical P/S for 2021 was 7.8, suggesting that the market is currently valuing the company's revenue at a premium.
Declining Net Profit Margin
The net profit margin has decreased from 12.9% in 2022 to 7.1% in 2024, indicating potential pressure on profitability due to rising costs or increased competition.
Calendar
July 2025
31
Next Earnings Date
H: $0.13
A: $0.13
L: $0.12
H: 275.80M
A: 271.77M
L: 268.16M
Profile
Mister Car Wash, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides conveyorized car wash services in the United States. It offers express exterior and interior cleaning services. The company serves individual retail and corporate customers. The company was formerly known as Hotshine Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Mister Car Wash, Inc. in March 2021. Mister Car Wash, Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Tucson, Arizona.
Seasonals
Price Target
9.28 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for MCW have a max estimate of 11.00 and a min estimate of 6.25.
Debt Level and Coverage
Financial Position Analysis
Ownership
Capital Structure
Valuation - Summary
Valuation - Ratios
Revenue to Profit Conversion
Balance Sheet
Income Statement
Cash Flow
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