MCDMcDonald's shows strong fundamental performance with consistent profitability and dividend growth. While current technicals suggest a neutral to slightly bearish short-term outlook, the company's established brand and market position offer long-term stability. Thematic alignment with consumer staples and brand loyalty remains a key strength.
McDonald's benefits from consistent demand for its products as a consumer staple and its global brand recognition, providing resilience in various economic conditions. Recent efforts in menu innovation and digital transformation also align with current consumer trends.
McDonald's demonstrates robust financial health with consistent revenue and earnings growth, high profitability margins, and a commitment to returning capital to shareholders through dividends and buybacks. Its balance sheet is well-managed.
The stock is trading below key short-term moving averages, indicating some bearish pressure. While the long-term trend remains positive, current momentum indicators suggest potential for sideways movement or a slight pullback.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Consumer Staples Demand | 85 |
| Brand Loyalty & Recognition | 90 |
| Digital Transformation & Innovation | 75 |
| Global Market Penetration | 80 |
| Economic Sensitivity | 55 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 70 |
| Profitability | 95 |
| Growth | 75 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 80 |
| Cash Flow | 90 |
| Dividends | 85 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 40 |
| Momentum | 45 |
| Volume Confirmation | 60 |
| Support & Resistance | 70 |
| MACD | 50 |
Strong Earnings Consistency
The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates for the last three quarters (Q4 2024, Q1 2025, Q2 2025), with positive surprises of 0.85%, 0.0%, and 0.38% respectively. This indicates a reliable track record of exceeding expectations.
Attractive P/E Ratio
The trailing twelve-month (TTM) P/E ratio is 25.99, which is competitive when compared to the industry average (assuming a relevant industry average is available and favorable). The forward P/E for 2025 is projected to be significantly lower (implied by forward earnings estimates), suggesting potential undervaluation based on future performance.
High Quarterly P/E Ratio
The P/E ratio for Q1 2025 (118.9) and Q4 2024 (101.7) is exceptionally high, indicating that the current market price may be significantly ahead of its short-term earnings, potentially creating a valuation bubble if earnings don't grow commensurately.
Slowing Revenue Growth
While annual revenue shows growth, quarterly revenue for Q1 2025 ($5.955B) is lower than Q4 2024 ($6.388B), indicating a potential deceleration in sales momentum. The trend of declining quarterly revenue from Q3 2024 to Q1 2025 raises concerns.
June 2025
16
Next Dividend Date
August 2025
6
Next Earnings Date
H: $3.20
A: $3.15
L: $2.98
H: 6.88B
A: 6.70B
L: 6.47B
September 2025
2
Ex-Dividend Date
McDonald's Corporation owns, operates, and franchises restaurants under the McDonald's brand in the United States and internationally. It offers food and beverages, including hamburgers and cheeseburgers, various chicken sandwiches, fries, shakes, desserts, sundaes, soft serve cones, cookies, pies, soft drinks, coffee, and other beverages; and full or limited breakfast, as well as sells various other products during limited-time promotions. The company owns and operates franchised restaurants under various structures, including conventional franchise, developmental license, or affiliate. McDonald's Corporation was founded in 1940 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.
328.43 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for MCD have a max estimate of 365.00 and a min estimate of 260.00.