HCC$86.52
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AI HCC Summary
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Powered by LiveAIOverall Analysis
NeutralWarrior Met Coal shows mixed signals. While its fundamental health is solid with good profitability and manageable debt, its recent performance and technical indicators suggest caution due to a recent price decline and mixed trading signals. Thematic tailwinds are less pronounced compared to technology sectors.
Thematic
Warrior Met Coal operates in the steelmaking coal industry, which is cyclical and influenced by global industrial production and infrastructure development. The demand for steelmaking coal is tied to global economic activity and green energy transitions that might impact steel production methods.
Fundamental
Warrior Met Coal demonstrates solid profitability and a strong balance sheet with significant cash reserves. The company has a reasonable valuation with a P/E ratio below industry averages in some periods, though recent earnings have shown some volatility.
Technical
The stock price has experienced a notable decline in the past year, but recent performance shows some recovery. Technical indicators provide a mixed outlook, with some suggesting a potential uptrend initiation while others indicate ongoing pressure.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Demand for Steelmaking Coal | 50 |
| Commodity Price Fluctuations | 40 |
| Geopolitical Factors | 60 |
| Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) | 70 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 30 |
| Profitability | 40 |
| Growth | 35 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 85 |
| Cash Flow | 30 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 40 |
| Momentum | 50 |
| Moving Averages (1-day) | 65 |
| Support & Resistance (1-day) | 70 |
| Trading Volume | 75 |
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Powered by LiveAIBullish Points (6)
Favorable Valuation Metrics
The Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 29.57 (TTM) is comparable to the industry average, and the Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio of 3.4 suggests potential for growth. The company has a strong history of consistent revenue growth over the past few years.
Strong Cash Position
Warrior Met Coal has a substantial cash and cash equivalents balance of $491.55 million as of Q4 2024, significantly exceeding its total debt of $173.04 million, indicating robust liquidity and a low risk of financial distress.
Bearish Points (6)
Volatile Earnings and Negative Surprise
Warrior Met Coal has experienced significant earnings volatility, with notable negative EPS surprises in recent quarters (e.g., -3300.0% in Q2 2025 and -65.52% in Q1 2025). The company reported a net loss of $8.17 million in Q1 2025.
High P/E Ratio
The trailing P/E ratio of 29.57 is on the higher side, and the price to sales ratio of 3.4 indicates that investors are paying a premium for the company's sales, which may present a risk if growth expectations are not met.
Calendar
May 2025
5
Ex-Dividend Date
May 2025
12
Next Dividend Date
August 2025
7
Next Earnings Date
H: $-0.22
A: $-0.36
L: $-0.65
H: 301.98M
A: 285.63M
L: 270.20M
Profile
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. engages in the production and export of non-thermal steelmaking coal for the steel production by metal manufacturers in Europe, South America, and Asia. The company offers hard-coking coal through the operation of underground mines located in Alabama. It also sells natural gas extracted as a byproduct from coal production. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Brookwood, Alabama.
Seasonals
Price Target
60.33 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for HCC have a max estimate of 75.00 and a min estimate of 50.00.
Debt Level and Coverage
Financial Position Analysis
Ownership
Capital Structure
Valuation - Summary
Valuation - Ratios
Revenue to Profit Conversion
Balance Sheet
Income Statement
Cash Flow
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