GEO$15.04
$15.1891
Chart
Performance
Key Stats
AI GEO Summary
Powered by LiveAIAI Scoreboard
Powered by LiveAIOverall Analysis
HoldThe GEO Group, Inc. shows stable fundamentals with moderate growth potential and balanced thematic factors. Technical indicators reveal mixed signals, suggesting caution for near-term trading while offering potential for longer-term investors.
Thematic
The GEO Group operates in secure facility management and services, a niche sector with steady demand. Growth drivers include reentry and electronic monitoring services, but regulatory and social challenges temper the upside.
Fundamental
The GEO Group shows some fundamental strengths including positive free cash flow and manageable debt levels, but profitability remains slim and valuation is stretched, warranting careful consideration.
Technical
Technical analysis shows the stock trading close to key moving averages with oscillators mostly neutral to mildly bullish. Some sell signals exist in shorter intervals, suggesting limited near-term upside but longer-term support.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Social and Regulatory Environment | 50 |
| Market Presence & Diversification | 65 |
| Service Innovation | 65 |
| Industry Stability | 60 |
| ESG Factors | 55 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 25 |
| Profitability | 40 |
| Growth | 75 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 60 |
| Cash Flow | 65 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 65 |
| Momentum | 70 |
| Volume Confirmation | 70 |
| Support & Resistance | 70 |
AI Investing Checklist
Powered by LiveAIBullish Points (5)
Recent Positive EPS Surprises
The company reported positive earnings surprises in recent quarters, including a 40.24% surprise in 2024 Q3 and a 65.01% surprise in 2024 Q1, indicating better-than-expected profitability in those periods.
Strong Market Capitalization and Stability
The company maintains a market capitalization above $3.6 billion with a stable enterprise value, suggesting investor confidence and solid market presence.
Bearish Points (6)
Recent Negative EPS Surprises
The company experienced significant negative earnings surprises recently, including -44.25% in 2025 Q1 and -22.22% in 2025 Q2, highlighting earnings volatility and uncertainty.
Low and Declining Net Margins
Net margins have dropped to 1.3% in 2024 Q4 from higher margins in previous years, indicating ongoing margin pressure and limited profitability.
Calendar
January 2021
22
Ex-Dividend Date
February 2021
1
Next Dividend Date
August 2025
6
Next Earnings Date
H: $0.18
A: $0.17
L: $0.16
H: 638.03M
A: 621.55M
L: 615.00M
Profile
The GEO Group, Inc. owns, leases, operates, and manages secure facilities, processing centers, and community-based reentry facilities in the United States, Australia, the United Kingdom, and South Africa. The company operates through four segments: U.S. Secure Services; Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services; Reentry Services; and International Services. It also provides secure facility management services, including the provision of security, administrative, rehabilitation, education, and food services; reentry services, such as temporary housing, programming, employment assistance, and other services; electronic monitoring and supervision services; and secure transportation services, as well as designs, constructs, and finances new facilities through projects. The company was founded in 1984 and is based in Boca Raton, Florida.
Seasonals
Price Target
41.80 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for GEO have a max estimate of 50.00 and a min estimate of 35.00.
Debt Level and Coverage
Financial Position Analysis
Ownership
Capital Structure
Valuation - Summary
Valuation - Ratios
Revenue to Profit Conversion
Balance Sheet
Income Statement
Cash Flow
Related Companies
Powered by LiveAIWeight: 60
Related through financial services and investments in real estate similar to GEO Group's real estate investment trust model
Weight: 55
Real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in residential properties, related by sector
Weight: 55
Large residential REIT, comparable to GEO's real estate operations