CXW$17.68
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AI CXW Summary
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Powered by LiveAIOverall Analysis
NeutralCoreCivic presents a mixed investment profile. While its operational stability and dividend history are notable, the company faces revenue pressures and regulatory uncertainties. Its financial health is improving, but growth prospects require careful monitoring. The current price reflects these complexities, making it a hold for investors seeking income and stability, but not for aggressive growth.
Thematic
The correctional services industry is influenced by government policy and public perception, creating moderate thematic tailwinds and headwinds. While there's a consistent demand for correctional facilities and services, the trend towards criminal justice reform and private prison scrutiny can impact growth.
Fundamental
CoreCivic demonstrates a solid financial position with improving debt management and consistent, albeit modest, profitability. Revenue has shown some volatility, and the company has a zero dividend yield, indicating a focus on reinvestment or debt reduction rather than shareholder payouts.
Technical
The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a bearish or consolidating trend in the short to medium term. While recent performance has been negative over several periods, some indicators suggest potential for a short-term bounce.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Government Contract Stability | 70 |
| Criminal Justice Reform Trends | 40 |
| Public Perception and ESG Concerns | 45 |
| Real Estate Solutions Demand | 65 |
| Economic Sensitivity | 60 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 50 |
| Profitability | 60 |
| Growth | 45 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 70 |
| Cash Flow | 75 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 30 |
| Momentum | 50 |
| Volume Confirmation | 60 |
| Support & Resistance | 70 |
| Short-term Performance | 40 |
AI Investing Checklist
Powered by LiveAIBullish Points (7)
Improving EPS Surprise Trend
The company has exceeded earnings per share (EPS) estimates in the last three reported quarters (Q4 2024, Q1 2025, Q2 2025) with positive surprises of 115.91%, 70.0%, and 86.39% respectively, indicating consistent operational outperformance relative to analyst expectations.
Attractive P/E Ratio Trend
The trailing twelve-month (TTM) Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 33.3 is lower than the quarterly P/E ratios (e.g., Q1 2025 at 88.2), suggesting a potential stabilization or improvement in future earnings relative to current market valuation.
Bearish Points (7)
High Quarterly P/E Ratios
Recent quarterly P/E ratios (e.g., Q1 2025 at 88.2, Q2 2024 at 115.0) are significantly elevated compared to the TTM P/E of 33.3, suggesting that current market expectations for near-term earnings may be overly optimistic and difficult to sustain.
Slowing Revenue Growth
Annual revenue growth has shown a declining trend from $1.96 billion in 2024 to a projected lower amount in subsequent years (based on available data, the trend suggests a plateau or decline from the 2024 peak), which could impact future earnings potential.
Calendar
March 2020
31
Ex-Dividend Date
April 2020
15
Next Dividend Date
August 2025
7
Next Earnings Date
H: $0.22
A: $0.21
L: $0.19
H: 507.53M
A: 499.02M
L: 487.16M
Profile
CoreCivic, Inc. owns and operates partnership correctional, detention, and residential reentry facilities in the United States. It operates through three segments: CoreCivic Safety, CoreCivic Community, and CoreCivic Properties. The company provides a range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through corrections and detention management, a network of residential reentry centers to help address recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. Its correctional, detention, and residential reentry facilities offer rehabilitation and educational programs, including basic education, faith-based services, life skills and employment training, and substance abuse treatment; food services; and work and recreational programs as well as health care services, including medical, dental, and mental health services. CoreCivic, Inc. was founded in 1983 and is based in Brentwood, Tennessee.
Seasonals
Price Target
31.50 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for CXW have a max estimate of 38.00 and a min estimate of 28.00.
Debt Level and Coverage
Financial Position Analysis
Ownership
Capital Structure
Valuation - Summary
Valuation - Ratios
Revenue to Profit Conversion
Balance Sheet
Income Statement
Cash Flow
Related Companies
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