EXEExpand Energy Corporation shows mixed signals. While it has a strong historical performance and a leading position in natural gas production, recent financial performance indicates challenges and a shift in market dynamics. Thematic tailwinds are present, but execution and market conditions will be critical.
Expand Energy is positioned within the essential energy sector, benefiting from ongoing demand for natural gas. The transition to cleaner energy sources provides a supportive backdrop, although the company's long-term adaptation to evolving energy landscapes will be key.
Expand Energy Corporation shows a mix of financial performance. While revenue and gross profit are present, recent periods show significant net losses and negative margins. The company carries substantial debt, which, combined with fluctuating free cash flow, warrants careful consideration.
The stock is trading significantly below its 52-week high and recent moving averages. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend with downward momentum, though some short-term oscillators indicate potential for minor bounces.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Energy Transition | 80 |
| Geopolitical Factors | 75 |
| Environmental Regulations | 65 |
| Capital Allocation | 70 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 50 |
| Profitability | 20 |
| Growth | 30 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 70 |
| Cash Flow | 35 |
| Dividend Yield | 60 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 20 |
| Momentum | 30 |
| Volume Confirmation | 50 |
| Support & Resistance | 60 |
| Short-Term Oscillators | 70 |
Positive EPS Surprises
The company has exceeded EPS estimates in the last three reported quarters (2024Q4, 2025Q1, 2025Q2), with surprise percentages of 359.15%, 15.3%, and 7.27% respectively. This indicates a strong track record of exceeding market expectations on earnings.
Attractive P/S Ratio (Historical)
The trailing Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio of 4.9 (TTM) is higher than the 2023 (3.0), 2022 (2.1), and 2020 (4.5) figures, but the significant revenue growth in 2022 and 2023, coupled with the potential for future revenue increases, might justify this. A closer look at the trend of increasing revenue to profit conversion is needed.
Negative EPS and Net Income TTM
The company reported a negative EPS TTM of -5.81 and a negative net income TTM of -$762 million. This indicates current unprofitability on a trailing twelve-month basis, which is a significant concern.
High P/S Ratio with Negative Earnings
The TTM Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio is 4.9, while the TTM Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is negative (-31.1). This suggests that the stock is trading at a high multiple relative to its sales, but it is not currently profitable on an earnings basis, making traditional P/E valuation difficult.
May 2025
15
Ex-Dividend Date
June 2025
4
Next Dividend Date
July 2025
30
Next Earnings Date
H: $1.44
A: $1.15
L: $0.87
H: 2.13B
A: 2.07B
L: 2.03B
Expand Energy Corporation operates as an independent natural gas production company in the United States. The company engages in acquisition, exploration, and development of properties to produce oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. It holds interests in the Marcellus Shale in the northern Appalachian Basin in Pennsylvania; the Marcellus and Utica Shales in Ohio and West Virginia; and the Haynesville and Bossier Shales in Louisiana. The company was formerly known as Chesapeake Energy Corporation and changed its name to Expand Energy Corporation in October 2024. Expand Energy Corporation was founded in 1989 and is based in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
132.38 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for EXE have a max estimate of 170.00 and a min estimate of 101.00.