DX$14.26
$14.28
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Powered by LiveAIOverall Analysis
BuyDynex Capital, Inc. (DX) presents a mixed but generally positive investment profile. Its fundamental strength lies in its REIT structure and dividend yield, complemented by a stable dividend history. However, recent EPS performance shows volatility, and short-term technical indicators suggest a cautious approach. The company's focus on mortgage-backed securities exposes it to interest rate sensitivity.
Thematic
Dynex Capital operates within the real estate investment trust (REIT) sector, specifically focusing on mortgage-backed securities (MBS). Its thematic relevance is tied to the performance of the U.S. housing and credit markets, interest rate policies, and the broader financial sector. While it benefits from the need for housing finance, its specialization in MBS introduces specific risks.
Fundamental
Dynex Capital exhibits strengths in its REIT structure, consistent dividend payments, and a solid balance sheet. However, recent earnings per share (EPS) have been volatile, with some periods showing significant negative surprises. Revenue and net income trends also reflect this volatility, although the overall net margin can be high in profitable periods.
Technical
Dynex Capital's stock price has shown positive performance over the last year and year-to-date. While most short-term moving averages indicate a 'Buy' signal, longer-term and broader technical indicators, particularly the 1-minute RSI and Stochastic RSI, suggest the stock may be approaching overbought conditions in the very short term, warranting a cautious entry.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Interest Rate Sensitivity | 50 |
| Real Estate Market Dynamics | 70 |
| Dividend Income Focus | 80 |
| Credit Market Conditions | 65 |
| Regulatory & Policy Environment | 65 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 70 |
| Profitability | 85 |
| Growth | 60 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 75 |
| Cash Flow | 70 |
| Dividend History | 85 |
| Earnings Per Share (EPS) | 60 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 85 |
| Momentum | 70 |
| Short-Term Oscillators | 60 |
| Volume Confirmation | 75 |
| Support & Resistance | 80 |
| Performance Trends | 85 |
AI Investing Checklist
Powered by LiveAIBullish Points (6)
Attractive Valuation
The Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio on a trailing twelve months (TTM) basis is 17.2, which is reasonable given the historical performance and industry trends.
Consistent Dividend Payments
The company has a history of consistent dividend payments, with a current dividend yield of 5.7% and a recent payment of $0.17.
Bearish Points (8)
Inconsistent EPS Estimates vs. Actuals
There have been significant negative earnings surprises in some quarters, such as Q4 2024 with a -257.14% surprise, indicating unreliability in earnings forecasts.
High Price-to-Sales Ratio
The Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio for 2023 was 50.8, which is exceptionally high and suggests the stock may be overvalued relative to its revenue.
Calendar
July 2025
23
Ex-Dividend Date
August 2025
1
Next Dividend Date
October 2025
20
Next Earnings Date
H: $0.44
A: $0.32
L: $0.24
H: 37.92M
A: 32.06M
L: 29.01M
Profile
Dynex Capital, Inc., a mortgage real estate investment trust, invests in mortgage-backed securities (MBS) in the United States. It invests in agency MBS consisting of residential MBS and commercial MBS (CMBS); and agency and non-agency CMBS interest-only securities. Agency MBS have a guaranty of principal payment by an agency of the U.S. government or a U.S. government-sponsored entity, such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Non-Agency MBS do not have a guaranty of principal or interest payments. The company has qualified as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. It generally would not be subject to federal income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its shareholders. Dynex Capital, Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Glen Allen, Virginia.
Seasonals
Price Target
13.83 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for DX have a max estimate of 16.00 and a min estimate of 12.50.
Financial Position Analysis
Ownership
Valuation - Summary
Valuation - Ratios
Revenue to Profit Conversion
Balance Sheet
Income Statement
Cash Flow
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