CWST$87.4
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Powered by LiveAIOverall Analysis
NeutralCasella Waste Systems presents a mixed investment profile with solid fundamental performance and positive long-term thematic alignment in waste management. However, current valuation metrics and mixed short-term technical signals suggest a 'Neutral' stance, warranting further monitoring.
Thematic
Casella Waste Systems is well-positioned within the essential waste management and resource recovery sector, benefiting from increasing environmental consciousness and regulatory support for recycling and sustainable waste disposal. Growth drivers include expanding service offerings and geographic reach.
Fundamental
Casella Waste Systems demonstrates improving revenue growth and a strengthening balance sheet, though profitability has been somewhat compressed by investments and operational factors. Diligent management of debt and a focus on operational efficiency are key strengths.
Technical
Technical indicators for Casella Waste Systems are mixed. While some shorter-term indicators show bullish signals (e.g., 10-day EMA), longer-term moving averages and oscillators suggest potential headwinds or a period of consolidation. The stock price has seen recent volatility.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Waste Management & Resource Recovery | 85 |
| Environmental Regulations & Compliance | 75 |
| Infrastructure & Technology Investment | 65 |
| Customer Diversification | 70 |
| Economic Sensitivity | 60 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 20 |
| Profitability | 35 |
| Growth | 75 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 65 |
| Cash Flow | 50 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 40 |
| Momentum | 45 |
| Volume Confirmation | 55 |
| Support & Resistance | 55 |
| Oscillators | 40 |
AI Investing Checklist
Powered by LiveAIBullish Points (6)
Positive EPS Surprises
Casella Waste Systems (CWST) has demonstrated a strong trend of beating earnings per share (EPS) estimates in recent quarters. For example, Q2 2025 reported EPS of $0.19 against an estimate of $0.09 (102.36% surprise), and Q1 2025 reported $0.41 against an estimate of $0.16 (159.86% surprise). This consistent outperformance suggests effective operational management and potential for future earnings growth.
Improving Revenue Per Share
While the trailing P/E ratio is high at 494.5, the Price/Sales ratio has shown a downward trend from 6.3 in 2022 to 4.2 in 2024. This indicates that revenue generation is becoming more efficient relative to the company's market capitalization, which can be a positive sign.
Bearish Points (7)
Very High P/E Ratio
The trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 494.5 is exceptionally high, suggesting that the stock is trading at a significant premium to its current earnings. This could be a sign of overvaluation or that the market expects very substantial future earnings growth, which carries inherent risk if not achieved.
Deteriorating Net Margin
Net margin has significantly declined from 4.9% in 2022 to 0.9% in 2024. The Q1 2025 net margin was negative (-1.2%), indicating potential challenges in converting revenue into profit. This margin compression is a key concern for future profitability.
Calendar
August 2025
1
Next Earnings Date
H: $0.45
A: $0.33
L: $0.21
H: 462.08M
A: 454.02M
L: 439.63M
Profile
Casella Waste Systems, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a vertically integrated solid waste services company in the United States. The company offers resource management services primarily in the areas of solid waste collection and disposal, transfer, recycling, and organics services to residential, commercial, municipal, institutional, and industrial customers. It also provides non-hazardous solid waste services, including collections, transfer stations, recycling, and disposal operations. In addition, the company markets materials, including fibers, corrugated cardboard, newsprint, plastics, glass, ferrous, and aluminum metals. Casella Waste Systems, Inc. was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Rutland, Vermont.
Seasonals
Price Target
126.26 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for CWST have a max estimate of 140.00 and a min estimate of 113.00.
Debt Level and Coverage
Financial Position Analysis
Ownership
Capital Structure
Valuation - Summary
Valuation - Ratios
Revenue to Profit Conversion
Balance Sheet
Income Statement
Cash Flow
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