CMG$31.32
$31.51
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AI CMG Summary
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Powered by LiveAIOverall Analysis
BuyChipotle Mexican Grill shows strong fundamental performance and a positive outlook driven by its business model. While recent price action indicates some short-term weakness, the long-term prospects remain robust. The thematic elements are supportive but not as dominant as its operational strengths.
Thematic
Chipotle benefits from trends in convenient and customizable dining, but its direct exposure to disruptive technology themes is limited. Growth in healthy eating and digital ordering are key positive drivers.
Fundamental
Chipotle demonstrates robust revenue and earnings growth, strong profit margins, and a healthy balance sheet. Its operational efficiency and ability to translate revenue into profit are key strengths. Valuation metrics are on the higher side but may be justified by its growth trajectory.
Technical
Recent price action shows a significant decline, pushing the stock below key moving averages and indicating short-term bearish sentiment. Momentum indicators suggest oversold conditions, hinting at a potential bounce, but the overall trend has weakened.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Consumer Preferences (Healthy/Convenient) | 85 |
| Digital Transformation & Delivery | 80 |
| Sustainability & Sourcing | 70 |
| Competitive Landscape | 60 |
| Economic Sensitivity | 65 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 60 |
| Profitability | 88 |
| Growth | 89 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 75 |
| Cash Flow | 85 |
| Earnings Per Share (EPS) Growth | 85 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 30 |
| Momentum | 70 |
| Volume Confirmation | 40 |
| Support & Resistance | 65 |
| Short-Term Oscillators | 70 |
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Powered by LiveAIBullish Points (6)
Consistent EPS Beats
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) has consistently beaten earnings per share (EPS) estimates for the last several quarters, demonstrating strong operational execution and profitability management. For example, Q1 2024 EPS was reported at $10.36, exceeding the estimate of $9.75 by 6.22%.
Expanding Net Margins
The company has shown an improving net margin trend, increasing from 8.7% in 2021 to 13.6% in 2024 (annualized data). This indicates enhanced efficiency in converting revenue into profit.
Bearish Points (8)
Significant Daily Price Decline
The stock experienced a notable price drop of $7.04, or 13.34%, indicating potential short-term selling pressure or a reaction to recent news.
Negative Short-Term Performance
The stock has seen negative performance across multiple short-term periods, including -12.81% over 5 days and -15.72% over 1 month, suggesting a recent downtrend.
Calendar
July 2025
24
Next Earnings Date
H: $0.31
A: $0.30
L: $0.28
H: 3.11B
A: 3.06B
L: 3.03B
Profile
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates Chipotle Mexican Grill restaurants. It sells food and beverages, such as burritos, burrito bowls, quesadillas, tacos, and salads, as well as lifestyle bowls, kids's meal, chips, sides, and drinks. The company also provides delivery and related services through its app and website. It has operations in the United States, Canada, France, Germany, Dubai, and the United Kingdom. Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Newport Beach, California.
Seasonals
Price Target
58.19 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for CMG have a max estimate of 65.00 and a min estimate of 45.94.
Debt Level and Coverage
Financial Position Analysis
Ownership
Capital Structure
Valuation - Summary
Valuation - Ratios
Revenue to Profit Conversion
Balance Sheet
Income Statement
Cash Flow
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