BXMTThe company presents mixed signals: solid thematic positioning as a real estate finance trust with stable dividends, but faces fundamental challenges including negative earnings and high debt levels. Technical indicators suggest cautious trading opportunities.
Blackstone Mortgage Trust operates in the commercial real estate finance sector with a focus on senior floating rate mortgage loans secured by commercial property, offering exposure to steady income streams and diversification benefits.
The company's fundamentals show mixed results. Negative trailing EPS and recent net losses contrast with strong dividend yields and manageable fundamentals metrics. Balance sheet shows high absolute debt, though some improvement is noted. Free cash flow remains positive.
Technical analysis reveals mixed signals: short-term moving averages mostly bearish, some buy signals on momentum oscillators, and indications of near-term consolidation. Long-term trends moderately positive but caution warranted for traders.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Market Position | 80 |
| Dividend Income | 78 |
| Regulatory Environment | 75 |
| Sector Cyclicality | 65 |
| Innovation & Diversification | 70 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 40 |
| Profitability | 35 |
| Growth | 50 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 60 |
| Cash Flow | 70 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 60 |
| Momentum | 65 |
| Volume & Volatility | 70 |
| Support & Resistance | 65 |
Positive Earnings Surprise Trend
Most recent quarterly EPS reports have beaten estimates, including Q2 2025 with a surprise of 128.83%, demonstrating better-than-expected profitability.
Attractive High Dividend Yield
The company offers a high dividend yield around 9.8% to 15.9% in recent payouts signaling strong income potential for investors.
Negative Earnings and Net Income
Recent net income and EPS are negative, with trailing twelve months net income at -$19.55 million and EPS TTM at -0.46, indicating profitability challenges.
Sharp Net Margin Decline
Net margin dropped to -41.4% in 2024 Q4 compared to positive margins above 30% in prior years, reflecting erosion in profitability.
June 2025
30
Ex-Dividend Date
July 2025
15
Next Dividend Date
July 2025
30
Next Earnings Date
H: $0.44
A: $0.24
L: $0.13
H: 147.00M
A: 108.22M
L: 91.10M
Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc., a real estate finance company, originates senior loans collateralized by commercial properties in North America, Europe, and Australia. The company originates and acquires senior, floating rate mortgage loans that are secured by a first-priority mortgage on commercial real estate assets. It operates as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. The company was formerly known as Capital Trust, Inc. and changed its name to Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. in May 2013. Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
20.29 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for BXMT have a max estimate of 23.00 and a min estimate of 18.50.