BRX$26.07
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Powered by LiveAIOverall Analysis
BuyBrixmor (BRX) presents a stable, income-generating investment opportunity within the retail REIT sector. Its strong portfolio of open-air shopping centers, coupled with a consistent dividend, makes it attractive for income-focused investors. While recent performance shows some cooling, its fundamental stability and potential for modest growth in a recovering retail environment support a favorable outlook. Technicals suggest current price levels offer a reasonable entry point, though not an aggressive buy signal.
Thematic
Brixmor benefits from the ongoing consumer preference for open-air shopping centers, which offer convenience and perceived safety compared to enclosed malls. The rise of 'essential retail' tenants and the focus on last-mile logistics for e-commerce further support its portfolio. However, the broader retail sector faces ongoing disruption from e-commerce and economic sensitivities, limiting the extent of thematic tailwinds.
Fundamental
Brixmor demonstrates solid financial health with a focus on profitability and consistent cash flow. Its valuation metrics, particularly P/E, are within a reasonable range for a REIT, and its dividend yield is attractive. The company shows consistent revenue growth and strong net margins, indicating efficient operations and effective tenant management.
Technical
The stock is trading within its 52-week range and shows mixed signals across different timeframes. While it has exhibited positive short-term performance (5D, 1M), longer-term trends (6M, YTD, 1Y) indicate some volatility. Technical indicators suggest a generally neutral to slightly bullish sentiment, with some oscillators indicating oversold conditions on shorter timeframes, potentially signaling buying opportunities.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Open-Air Retail Preference | 80 |
| Essential Retail Tenants | 75 |
| E-commerce Integration | 70 |
| Retail Sector Headwinds | 40 |
| Interest Rate Sensitivity | 60 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 70 |
| Profitability | 85 |
| Growth | 60 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 65 |
| Cash Flow | 80 |
| Dividend Yield | 88 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 70 |
| Momentum | 60 |
| Volume Confirmation | 75 |
| Support & Resistance | 70 |
| Short-Term Oscillators | 70 |
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Powered by LiveAIBullish Points (7)
Consistent Earnings Surprises
The company has consistently beaten earnings per share (EPS) estimates, with positive surprises ranging from 3.37% to 81.82% over the past few years, indicating strong operational execution.
Improving Cash Position
Free cash flow has been robust, growing from $552.24 million in 2021 to $624.69 million in 2024 (annualized data). The cash position has also improved significantly.
Bearish Points (7)
Volatile Quarterly P/E Ratios
Quarterly P/E ratios can be very high (e.g., 114.0 in Q1 2025, 98.9 in Q4 2024), suggesting potential overvaluation or cyclical earnings that could lead to price volatility.
Increasing Debt Load
Total debt has increased from $4.93 billion in Q4 2023 to $5.34 billion in Q4 2024. While covered by free cash flow, the rising debt warrants monitoring.
Calendar
July 2025
2
Ex-Dividend Date
July 2025
15
Next Dividend Date
July 2025
29
Next Earnings Date
H: $0.23
A: $0.21
L: $0.20
H: 337.50M
A: 332.59M
L: 326.10M
Profile
Brixmor (NYSE: BRX) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns and operates a high-quality, national portfolio of open-air shopping centers. Its 361 retail centers comprise approximately 64 million square feet of prime retail space in established trade areas. The Company strives to own and operate shopping centers that reflect Brixmor's vision "to be the center of the communities we serve" and are home to a diverse mix of thriving national, regional and local retailers. Brixmor is a proud real estate partner to over 5,000 retailers including The TJX Companies, The Kroger Co., Publix Super Markets and Ross Stores.
Seasonals
Price Target
29.92 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for BRX have a max estimate of 39.00 and a min estimate of 26.00.
Debt Level and Coverage
Financial Position Analysis
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Capital Structure
Valuation - Summary
Valuation - Ratios
Revenue to Profit Conversion
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Income Statement
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