AVAVAeroVironment demonstrates strong fundamental performance in a growing defense technology sector. Thematic alignment is positive, but current technical indicators suggest a cautious approach due to recent price fluctuations.
AeroVironment is well-positioned to benefit from increased global defense spending, modernization of military capabilities, and the growing adoption of unmanned systems across various sectors.
AeroVironment shows solid revenue growth and improving profitability. Its balance sheet is manageable, though recent periods indicate negative free cash flow, which warrants monitoring.
The stock is in a long-term uptrend but has experienced some recent volatility. Key moving averages are still supportive, but momentum indicators suggest caution for short-term entry.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Defense Spending & Modernization | 95 |
| Unmanned Systems Adoption | 90 |
| AI & Autonomy in Defense | 85 |
| Counter-UAS (C-UAS) Demand | 80 |
| Supply Chain & Geopolitics | 70 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 40 |
| Profitability | 70 |
| Growth | 80 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 90 |
| Cash Flow | 35 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 75 |
| Momentum | 60 |
| Volume Confirmation | 70 |
| Support & Resistance | 65 |
Positive EPS Surprise
AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) has exceeded earnings per share (EPS) estimates in 4 out of the last 5 reported quarters, with a significant positive surprise of 92.86% in Q1 2024 and 15.66% in Q2 2025. This demonstrates consistent earnings beat capabilities.
Improving Net Margin
The company has shown a positive trend in net margin, improving from -0.9% in Q2 2022 to 8.3% in Q2 2024. The most recent quarter (Q2 2025) shows a net margin of 5.3%, indicating progress towards sustained profitability.
High P/E Ratio
The trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is 174.97. While TTM P/E is 308.7, these high multiples, especially compared to historical data and industry averages (if available), could indicate the stock is overvalued and sensitive to earnings disappointments.
Significant EPS Miss in Q1 2025
AeroVironment reported a substantial EPS miss in Q1 2025, with actual EPS of $0.30 against an estimate of $0.63 (a -52.08% surprise). This indicates potential unpredictability in earnings.
September 2025
4
Next Earnings Date
H: $0.81
A: $0.28
L: $-0.03
H: 522.88M
A: 446.36M
L: 406.00M
AeroVironment, Inc. designs, develops, produces, delivers, and supports a portfolio of robotic systems and related services for government agencies and businesses in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Autonomous Systems; and Space, Cyber and Directed Energy. The company provides uncrewed aircraft systems (UAS), which include small and medium UAS, and kinesis command and control software; and counter-UAS and precision strike, a loitering munitions solution that deliver actionable intelligence and precision firepower modern warfighters, including precision strike, radio frequency and kinetic C-UAS, and electronic warfare systems. It also offers autonomy, AI, and platform technologies; unmanned maritime; uncrewed ground systems; and high-altitude pseudo-satellites. The company provides digital beamforming technology, a multi-band/beam software defined antenna tile that allows simultaneous communication with multiple satellites; laser communications, a data transmission systems for space operations; space-qualified hardware for line of sight stabilization and control electronics in low, medium, and geostationary earth orbit, as well as cislunar orbits; phased array antenna technology to supports hypersonic telemetry and tracking, and other missile testing; and directed energy solution. It also offers cyber solution for national security and defense operations; and HaloCortex OSINT, an AI-powered OSINT analysis platform to provide insights and solve department of defense and commercial challenges. AeroVironment, Inc. was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia.
238.53 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for AVAV have a max estimate of 301.00 and a min estimate of 157.27.