UPS$108.305
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AI UPS Summary
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Powered by LiveAIOverall Analysis
BuyUnited Parcel Service (UPS) presents a mixed investment profile. Fundamentally sound with a solid dividend, but facing some growth headwinds and mixed technical signals. Thematic tailwinds related to e-commerce and global trade are positive but tempered by competitive pressures.
Thematic
UPS benefits from the sustained growth in e-commerce and the increasing complexity of global supply chains. However, its position is challenged by evolving delivery models and technological disruption.
Fundamental
UPS demonstrates robust financial health with consistent profitability and strong cash flow generation. The dividend yield is attractive, though recent earnings have shown some pressure.
Technical
The stock shows a mixed technical picture. While it's above key long-term moving averages, short-term indicators suggest consolidation or a potential minor pullback. Momentum is neutral.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| E-commerce Growth | 85 |
| Global Trade & Logistics | 60 |
| Technological Adoption (Automation/AI) | 70 |
| Sustainability & ESG | 75 |
| Competitive Landscape | 55 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 65 |
| Profitability | 60 |
| Growth | 40 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 50 |
| Cash Flow | 80 |
| Dividends | 90 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 60 |
| Momentum | 65 |
| Support & Resistance | 70 |
| Volume Confirmation | 70 |
| Short-Term Oscillators | 70 |
AI Investing Checklist
Powered by LiveAIBullish Points (7)
Positive Earnings Surprises
The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, with a notable surprise of 7.92% in Q2 2025 and 8.65% in Q1 2025, indicating strong operational execution and forecasting.
Growing Dividend Payout
The dividend yield of 6.3% is substantial. The consistent dividend payments with an ex-dividend date in May 2025 suggest a commitment to returning capital to shareholders.
Bearish Points (7)
Recent Negative Performance
The 6-month (-22.42%) and Year-to-Date (-14.66%) performance figures indicate a recent downturn, suggesting potential headwinds or a market re-evaluation.
Margin Compression Trend
Net margin has decreased from 13.2% in Q4 2021 to 6.3% in Q4 2024, indicating potential pressures on profitability due to rising costs or competitive pricing.
Calendar
May 2025
19
Ex-Dividend Date
June 2025
5
Next Dividend Date
July 2025
29
Next Earnings Date
H: $1.77
A: $1.57
L: $1.48
H: 21.20B
A: 20.85B
L: 20.58B
Profile
United Parcel Service, Inc., a package delivery and logistics provider, offers transportation and delivery services. It operates through two segments, U.S. Domestic Package and International Package. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers time-definite delivery services for express letters, documents, packages and palletized freight through air and ground services in the United States. The International Package segment provides small package operations in Europe, the Indian sub-continent, the Middle East and Africa, Canada and Latin America, and Asia. The company offers a range of guaranteed day- and time-definite international shipping services; day-definite services; cross-border ground package delivery; contract-only, e-commerce solutions for non-urgent, and cross-border shipments; and international service for urgent and palletized shipments. It also provides international air and ocean freight forwarding, contract logistics, custom brokerage and insurance, mail services, healthcare logistics, distribution, and post-sales services. United Parcel Service, Inc. was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Seasonals
Price Target
113.88 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for UPS have a max estimate of 145.00 and a min estimate of 80.00.
Debt Level and Coverage
Financial Position Analysis
Ownership
Capital Structure
Valuation - Summary
Valuation - Ratios
Revenue to Profit Conversion
Balance Sheet
Income Statement
Cash Flow
Related Companies
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