SMCISuper Micro Computer (SMCI) exhibits strong growth potential driven by AI infrastructure demand. Fundamentals are robust, though valuation is a consideration. Technicals show mixed signals, indicating potential volatility.
SMCI is a key enabler of the AI revolution, benefiting from secular tailwinds in cloud computing, AI, 5G, and edge computing.
SMCI demonstrates impressive revenue and earnings growth. Profitability is strong, and the balance sheet is improving, though recent free cash flow has been negative.
The stock has experienced significant upward momentum, trading well above key moving averages. However, some short-term indicators suggest potential for consolidation or a minor pullback.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence Adoption | 95 |
| Cloud Computing Growth | 90 |
| 5G and Edge Computing | 85 |
| Supply Chain Resilience | 75 |
| Innovation & R&D | 93 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 70 |
| Profitability | 75 |
| Growth | 95 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 80 |
| Cash Flow | 30 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 75 |
| Momentum | 40 |
| Volume Confirmation | 70 |
| Support & Resistance | 60 |
| Short-Term Oscillators | 70 |
Strong Revenue Growth Momentum
The company has demonstrated robust revenue growth, with the latest annual revenue reaching $14.99 billion, a significant increase from $7.12 billion two years prior. Quarterly revenue also shows a positive trend, with the most recent quarter at $5.35 billion.
Attractive Price-to-Sales (P/S) Ratio
The trailing Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio of 2.1 is significantly lower than the peak of 8.1 in the last year, suggesting a more attractive valuation relative to its sales performance.
Declining Net Margins
Net margin has declined from 10.5% in Q1 2024 to 2.4% in Q1 2025, indicating pressure on profitability despite revenue growth.
Elevated Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio
The trailing P/E ratio of 36.7 is high, suggesting that investors are paying a premium for the company's earnings. The forward P/E ratio based on the last quarter's earnings estimate is significantly higher (e.g., 187.9 for Q1 2025), indicating potential overvaluation if growth doesn't materialize.
August 2025
6
Next Earnings Date
H: $0.50
A: $0.44
L: $0.35
H: 6.30B
A: 5.91B
L: 4.98B
Super Micro Computer, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops and sells high performance server and storage solutions based on modular and open architecture in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. It offers various IT solutions, including complete servers, storage systems, modular blade servers, blades, workstations, full-rack scale solutions, networking devices, server sub-systems, and server management and security software. The company also provides application-optimized server solutions, rackmount and blade servers, storage, and subsystems and accessories; and server software management solutions, such as Server Management Suite, including Supermicro Server Manager, Supermicro Power Management software, Supermicro Update Manager, SuperCloud Composer, and SuperDoctor 5. In addition, it offers server subsystems and accessories, such as server boards, chassis, power supplies, and other accessories. Further, the company identifies service requirements, creates and executes project plans, conducts verification testing and training activities, and provides technical documentation services. Additionally, it offers help desk and onsite support services for server and storage systems; and customer support services, including ongoing maintenance and technical support. The company serves enterprise data centers, cloud computing, artificial intelligence, 5G, and edge computing markets through direct and indirect sales force, distributors, value-added resellers, system integrators, and original equipment manufacturers. Super Micro Computer, Inc. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
44.88 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for SMCI have a max estimate of 93.00 and a min estimate of 15.00.