SCCOSouthern Copper Corporation shows strong fundamental indicators, particularly in profitability and cash flow, supported by its position in essential commodity markets. Thematic tailwinds from infrastructure spending and electrification are positive, though technicals suggest a mixed short-term outlook. Investors seeking exposure to the mining sector with a dividend component may find SCCO attractive.
SCCO benefits from long-term demand for copper driven by infrastructure development and the transition to electric vehicles. However, commodity price volatility and geopolitical factors in mining regions present moderating themes.
Southern Copper demonstrates strong operational performance, robust profitability, and healthy cash flow generation. Its balance sheet is manageable, and it offers an attractive dividend yield. Valuation metrics suggest the stock may be reasonably valued given its earnings power.
The stock exhibits mixed technical signals. While showing some strength with key moving averages, it's trading near resistance levels, and momentum indicators are mixed. A period of consolidation or minor pullback is possible before significant upward movement.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Infrastructure Spending | 85 |
| Electrification & Green Energy | 80 |
| Commodity Price Volatility | 40 |
| Geopolitical Risk (Operating Regions) | 55 |
| Mining Industry ESG Focus | 75 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 65 |
| Profitability | 95 |
| Growth | 75 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 70 |
| Cash Flow | 90 |
| Dividend Yield | 70 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 60 |
| Momentum | 50 |
| Support and Resistance | 55 |
| Volume Analysis | 60 |
| Short-term Oscillators | 50 |
Strong Earnings Momentum
Quarterly EPS has shown positive surprises in recent periods, with a 15.74% positive surprise in Q3 2024 and a 5.06% surprise in Q2 2023, indicating consistent ability to beat analyst expectations.
Attractive P/E Ratio
The trailing twelve months (TTM) P/E ratio of 22.16 is reasonable, especially when considering the reported net income of $3.3768 billion in 2024. The forward P/E ratio, implied by the Q1 2025 EPS estimate ($1.01), suggests a forward P/E of approximately 24.6, which appears to be in line with industry averages for commodity producers.
High Price-to-Sales Ratio
The TTM Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio of 9.1 is high, particularly when compared to the 2024 P/S ratio of 6.3. This suggests that the market is valuing revenue highly, which could lead to a correction if revenue growth falters.
Inconsistent EPS Performance
EPS performance has been volatile, with a significant negative surprise of -15.93% in Q2 2024 and -12.62% in Q3 2023, indicating potential unpredictability in earnings generation.
May 2025
2
Ex-Dividend Date
May 2025
19
Next Dividend Date
July 2025
29
Next Earnings Date
H: $1.18
A: $1.11
L: $0.95
H: 3.22B
A: 3.06B
L: 2.95B
Southern Copper Corporation engages in mining, exploring, smelting, and refining copper and other minerals in Peru, Mexico, Argentina, Ecuador, and Chile. The company is involved in the mining, milling, and flotation of copper ore to produce copper and molybdenum concentrates; smelting of copper concentrates to produce blister and anode copper; refining of anode copper to produce copper cathodes; production of molybdenum concentrate and sulfuric acid; production of refined silver, gold, and other materials; and mining and processing of copper, molybdenum, zinc, silver, gold and lead. It operates the Toquepala and Cuajone open-pit mines, and smelter and refinery in Peru; and La Caridad, an open-pit copper mine, as well as copper ore concentrator, SX-EW plant, smelter, refinery, and rod plant in Mexico. The company also operates Buenavista, an open-pit copper mine, as well as copper concentrators and operating SX-EW plants in Mexico. In addition, it operates underground mines that produce zinc, lead, copper, silver, and gold; coal mine; and zinc refinery. The company has interests in 156,818 hectares and 502,688 hectares of concessions in Peru and Mexico; and 168,200 hectares and 28,453 hectares of exploration concessions in Argentina and Chile. Southern Copper Corporation was incorporated in 1952 and is based in Phoenix, Arizona. Southern Copper Corporation is a subsidiary of Americas Mining Corporation.
95.00 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for SCCO have a max estimate of 130.00 and a min estimate of 67.31.