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NGVCNGVC

$26.68

+1.08
arrow_drop_up4.22%
Current Market·update15 Jan 2026 19:09
Day's Range
25.23-26.835
52-week Range
23.47-61.22

Chart

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Performance

Key Stats

Next Earnings Date2025-11-20
Next Earnings TimeAfter Market Close
Volume149.28K
Average Volume 30d278.52K

AI NGVC Summary

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25.5
Valuation (P/E Ratio)
Reasonable for growth sector
📈
0.152
EPS Growth (YoY)
Strong earnings growth
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AI Scoreboard

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Overall Analysis

Neutral
70

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage (NGVC) presents a mixed investment profile. Fundamentally, the company shows steady revenue and improving profitability. However, its current valuation metrics are elevated, and technical indicators suggest a bearish short-term trend. Thematic alignment with natural/organic groceries is positive but may face intense competition.

Moderate

Thematic

75

NGVC operates within the growing natural and organic grocery sector, benefiting from increasing consumer demand for healthier and sustainable products. However, the competitive landscape is intense with large national chains and smaller specialty stores.

Neutral

Fundamental

70

NGVC demonstrates consistent revenue growth and improving net profit margins, indicating effective cost management and pricing strategies. The balance sheet is manageable, though debt levels are substantial relative to cash. Dividend yield is modest.

Bearish

Technical

55

NGVC is experiencing a short-term downtrend, trading below key moving averages and showing bearish signals across several technical indicators. The 52-week range indicates a significant drop from its highs.

FactorScore
Natural & Organic Food Trends80
Competitive Landscape65
Customer Loyalty & Brand Recognition70
Supply Chain & Sourcing85
Economic Sensitivity75
FactorScore
Valuation55
Profitability65
Growth60
Balance Sheet Health50
Cash Flow70
Dividend55
FactorScore
Trend Analysis40
Momentum50
Volume Confirmation50
Support & Resistance55
Earnings Surprise65

AI Investing Checklist

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Bullish Points (6)

Earnings Performance chevron_right

Positive Earnings Surprises

The company has exceeded EPS estimates in 4 out of the last 6 reported quarters, with surprises ranging from -40.0% to +106.67%. The most recent quarter showed a positive surprise of 30.0%.

Valuation chevron_right

Improving Valuation Metrics

The Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio on a trailing twelve months (TTM) basis is 28.5, while the projected P/E for 2024 is 19.9, suggesting potential for multiple expansion as earnings are anticipated to grow.

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Bearish Points (7)

Valuation Risk chevron_right

Elevated Quarterly P/E Ratio

The Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio for Q1 2025 is projected at 70.3, and for Q4 2024 at 91.3, which are significantly higher than the TTM P/E of 28.5, suggesting potential overvaluation based on near-term expectations.

Growth Deceleration chevron_right

Slowing Revenue Growth Trend

While annual revenue has grown from $1.05 billion in 2021 to $1.24 billion in 2024 (Q3), the quarterly net margin has fluctuated, reaching 3.9% in Q1 2025 but was as low as 2.0% in Q3 2023, indicating pressure on profitability.

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Calendar

May 2025

27

Ex-Dividend Date

June 2025

11

Next Dividend Date

August 2025

8

Next Earnings Date

EPS Est.
Revenue Est.

H: $

A: $

L: $

Profile

Employees (FY)3.33K
ISINUS63888U1088
FIGI-

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, retails natural and organic groceries, and dietary supplements in the United States. The company's stores offer natural and organic grocery products, such as organic produce; private label repackaged bulk products, including dried fruits, nuts, grains, granolas, teas, herbs, and spices, as well as peanut and almond butters; private label products comprising grocery staples, household products, bulk foods, and vitamins and dietary supplements, as well as organic eggs, organic flavored coffee, and organic mustard; dry, frozen, and canned groceries; meat and seafood products; dairy products, dairy substitutes, and eggs; prepared foods; bread and baked products; beverages; and beer, wine, and hard cider products. Its stores also provide name-brand supplements, as well as private label dietary supplements; body care products consisting of cosmetics, skin care, hair care, fragrance, and personal care products containing natural and organic ingredients; pet care and food products; household and general merchandise, including cleaning supplies, paper products, and dish and laundry soaps, as well as other common household products, such as diapers; and books and handouts. The company operates its retail stores under the Natural Grocers, Vitamin Cottage, Health Hotline, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage trademark, as well as Vitamin Cottage Natural Grocers and Health Hotline trademarks. The company also offers science-based nutrition education programs to help customers make informed health and nutrition choices. The company was formerly known as Vitamin Cottage Natural Food Markets, Inc. Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Lakewood, Colorado.

Seasonals

2025
2024
2023
2022
2021

Debt Level and Coverage

Debt
Free cash flow
Cash & equivalents

Financial Position Analysis

Assets
Liabilities

Ownership

Free Float shares
10.5M (45.69%)
Closely held shares
12.5M (54.31%)
23M
Free Float shares
10.5M (45.69%)
Closely held shares
12.5M (54.31%)

Capital Structure

Market cap
917.56M
Debt
346.51M
Minority interest
0.00
Cash & equivalents
8.87M
Enterprise value
1.26B

Valuation - Summary

Market Cap
918M
Net income
32M(3.49%)
Revenue
989M(107.75%)
918M
Market Cap
918M
Net income
32M(3.49%)
Revenue
989M(107.75%)
Price to earning ratio (P/E)28.60x
Price to sales ratio (P/S)0.90x

Valuation - Ratios

P/E
P/S

Revenue to Profit Conversion

Revenue
1.24B
COGS
876.77M
Gross Profit
364.81M
OpEx
316.11M
Operating Income
48.7M
Other & Taxes
14.76M
Net Income
33.94M

Balance Sheet

Total assets
Total liabilities
Liabilities to assets %

Income Statement

Revenue
Net Income
Net Margin

Cash Flow

Operating Cash Flow
Investing Cash Flow
Financing Cash Flow
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