NFE$1.34
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Powered by LiveAIOverall Analysis
HoldNew Fortress Energy (NFE) shows potential in the growing LNG market, but faces significant debt and recent profitability challenges. Thematic tailwinds are present, but fundamental risks and mixed technical signals warrant a cautious approach.
Thematic
NFE is positioned to benefit from the global energy transition towards natural gas and the increasing demand for Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) as a cleaner alternative to coal and oil. Infrastructure development and energy security trends support its business model.
Fundamental
NFE's financials present a mixed picture. While revenue has been substantial, recent quarters have shown significant losses, high debt levels, and negative free cash flow. The dividend yield is notable, but sustainability in light of current earnings is a concern.
Technical
The stock has experienced significant volatility, showing periods of sharp decline followed by bounces. Current technical indicators are mixed, with some suggesting oversold conditions while others point to ongoing downward pressure.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Energy Transition | 85 |
| Energy Security | 80 |
| Infrastructure Development | 70 |
| Regulatory Environment | 65 |
| Commodity Price Sensitivity | 75 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 65 |
| Profitability | 20 |
| Growth | 35 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 30 |
| Cash Flow | 15 |
| Dividend Yield | 70 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 30 |
| Momentum | 50 |
| Moving Averages | 40 |
| Volume Analysis | 60 |
| Short-term Performance | 45 |
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Powered by LiveAIBullish Points (6)
Potential Undervaluation
The Price/Sales (PS) ratio of 0.7 and Price/Earnings (PE) ratio of -2.7 (TTM, driven by recent net loss) suggest the stock might be undervalued, especially considering the revenue of $1.717 billion over the trailing twelve months. A PE ratio that is negative typically indicates the company has recently incurred a net loss, but further context from sales and future earnings potential is crucial.
Significant Short-Term Growth
The stock has experienced substantial positive performance in the short term, with a 1-month return of 74.16% and a 5-day return of -0.84%. While the 5-day performance shows a slight dip, the 1-month surge indicates recent positive momentum or market sentiment.
Bearish Points (7)
Negative Earnings and Volatility
The company has experienced significant negative EPS surprises in several recent quarters (e.g., -1014.55% in Q2 2025, -679.51% in Q3 2024) and a negative EPS TTM of -2.24. Net income was also negative in 2024 (-$249 million) and for the trailing twelve months (-$413 million), indicating current profitability challenges.
High P/S Ratio in Certain Periods
The Price/Sales ratio was as high as 4.5 in 2021 and 1.8 in 2024, indicating that investors have historically been willing to pay a premium for sales, though current ratios suggest a potential reset. The positive PS ratio for 2024 ($1.8) alongside a negative PE warrants careful consideration.
Calendar
June 2024
27
Next Dividend Date
September 2024
13
Ex-Dividend Date
August 2025
7
Next Earnings Date
H: $-0.55
A: $-0.57
L: $-0.59
H: 824.50M
A: 661.22M
L: 432.29M
Profile
New Fortress Energy Inc. operates as an integrated gas-to-power energy infrastructure company that provides energy and development services to end-users worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Terminals and Infrastructure, and Ships. The Terminals and Infrastructure segment engages in the natural gas procurement and liquefaction; and logistics, shipping, facilities and conversion, or development of natural gas-fired power generation. The Ships segment offers floating storage and regasification units (FRSU) and liquefied natural gas (LNG) carriers which are leased to customers under long-term or spot arrangements. The company operates LNG storage and regasification facility at the Port of Montego Bay, Jamaica; marine LNG storage and regasification facility in Old Harbour, Jamaica; Dual-fired combined heat and power facility in Clarendon, Jamaica; landed micro-fuel handling facility in San Juan, Puerto Rico; LNG receiving facility and gas-fired power plant in Baja California Sur, Mexico; and LNG receiving facility in southern coast of Brazil, as well as a Miami facility. New Fortress Energy Inc. was founded in 1998 and is based in New York, New York.
Seasonals
Price Target
7.58 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for NFE have a max estimate of 20.00 and a min estimate of 2.00.
Debt Level and Coverage
Financial Position Analysis
Ownership
Capital Structure
Valuation - Summary
Valuation - Ratios
Revenue to Profit Conversion
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Income Statement
Cash Flow
Related Companies
Powered by LiveAIWeight: 95
A leading U.S. liquified natural gas (LNG) producer and exporter, directly competing with and operating in the same core business area as New Fortress Energy in global LNG markets.
Weight: 90
Developing the Driftwood LNG project, a significant proposed LNG export facility in the U.S., making it a direct peer and competitor in the LNG infrastructure development space.
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New Fortress Energy has acquired significant floating liquefaction (FLNG) assets from Golar LNG, indicating a strong historical and strategic relationship in the FLNG and FSRU (Floating Storage and Regasification Unit) sectors.
Weight: 85
An international shipping company focused on the ownership and operation of modern LNG carriers, essential for the global transport of LNG, which is a core component of NFE's business model.