KNX$44.33
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Powered by LiveAIOverall Analysis
BuyKnight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (KNX) presents a mixed investment profile. Fundamentally, the company shows solid profitability and dividend yield, but recent performance and some valuation metrics indicate caution. Technicals suggest a neutral to slightly bearish short-term outlook.
Thematic
Knight-Swift operates in the logistics and transportation sector, which is integral to the economy but faces cyclical pressures and evolving trends like e-commerce growth and supply chain optimization.
Fundamental
Knight-Swift exhibits a blend of solid financial health and profitability, with a stable dividend. However, recent earnings performance shows some variability, and the current P/E ratio is notable.
Technical
The stock's recent performance shows a decline over the last 6 months and year-to-date. Technical indicators are mixed, with many moving averages suggesting a 'Sell' action, while some oscillators offer neutral to buy signals.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Supply Chain & Logistics Efficiency | 75 |
| Economic Sensitivity | 50 |
| Digitalization in Logistics | 70 |
| Environmental Regulations | 60 |
| Labor Market Dynamics | 65 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 45 |
| Profitability | 60 |
| Growth | 65 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 70 |
| Cash Flow | 40 |
| Dividend Yield | 75 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 40 |
| Momentum | 55 |
| Volume Confirmation | 60 |
| Support & Resistance | 60 |
| Short-Term Performance | 65 |
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Powered by LiveAIBullish Points (7)
Attractive Valuation Metrics
The Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 9.6 in 2022 is significantly lower than its 2021 P/E of 12.8, suggesting potential undervaluation. The Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio also decreased from 1.6 in 2021 to 1.0 in 2022 and 2023, indicating improved sales efficiency relative to market capitalization.
Strong Profitability and Margin Expansion
Net margin improved significantly from 1.1% in Q2 2024 to 3.7% in Q4 2024, and from 1.6% in 2024 to 3.0% in 2023. This indicates a substantial increase in the company's ability to convert revenue into profit.
Bearish Points (7)
Significant Earnings Misses in Prior Periods
Earnings Per Share (EPS) estimates were missed significantly in Q2 2024 (-41.43%) and Q1 2024 (-79.45%), indicating potential operational challenges or forecasting inaccuracies.
High P/E Ratio in Recent Quarters
The Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio has shown volatility, reaching -2801.3 in Q1 2024 and 122.7 in Q4 2024, which are extremely high and suggest potential overvaluation or significant earnings disruption.
Calendar
June 2025
9
Ex-Dividend Date
June 2025
23
Next Dividend Date
October 2025
23
Next Earnings Date
H: $0.42
A: $0.39
L: $0.36
H: 2.00B
A: 1.91B
L: 1.86B
Profile
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides freight transportation services in the United States and Mexico. The company operates through four segments: Truckload, Less-than-truckload (LTL), Logistics, and Intermodal. The Truckload segment provides transportation services, which include irregular route and dedicated, refrigerated, expedited, flatbed, and cross-border operations. This segment operates an average of 22,791 tractors, which includes 20,644 company tractors and 2,147 independent contractor tractors, as well as 92,831 trailers. The LTL segment offers regional LTL transportation services through a network of approximately 170 service centers; and national coverage through partner carrier outside the network. This segment operates an average of 3,569 tractors and 9,564 trailers. The Logistic segment provides brokerage and other freight management services through third-party transportation providers and equipment. The Intermodal segment offers transportation services, including freight through third-party intermodal rail services on trailing equipment, such as containers and trailers on flat cars; and drayage services. This segment operates an average of 615 tractors and 12,572 intermodal containers. The company also provides repair and maintenance shop, equipment leasing, warranty, and insurance services; and warehousing and driving academy services, as well as manufactures trailer parts. It serves retail, food and beverage, consumer and paper products, transportation and logistics, housing and building, automotive, and manufacturing industries. The company was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.
Seasonals
Price Target
52.85 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for KNX have a max estimate of 68.00 and a min estimate of 42.00.
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