GPRE$11.54
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AI GPRE Summary
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Powered by LiveAIOverall Analysis
NeutralGreen Plains Inc. shows some fundamental strength in its agribusiness segment and a commitment to low-carbon fuels, but faces significant challenges with profitability and cash flow. Technical indicators are mixed, suggesting a period of consolidation or uncertainty. An investor should carefully consider the company's strategic direction and execution in the biofuels market.
Thematic
Green Plains Inc. is positioned within the growing renewable fuels and low-carbon economy themes. The company's focus on producing ethanol, distiller grains, and ultra-high protein aligns with increasing demand for sustainable alternatives in agriculture and energy.
Fundamental
Green Plains Inc. exhibits a mixed fundamental profile. While it has a substantial asset base and some revenue generation, it has consistently reported net losses and negative free cash flow in recent years. Its debt levels are significant relative to its cash position, and the P/E ratio is negative due to losses.
Technical
Green Plains Inc. stock is trading near its 52-week low but has seen some upward movement in the past month. Technical indicators are mixed, with some suggesting potential for a short-term bounce but lacking strong confirmation for a sustained trend. The stock is not displaying clear bullish or bearish momentum across key timeframes.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Renewable Fuels Demand | 85 |
| ESG & Sustainability Focus | 80 |
| Agricultural Commodity Cycles | 70 |
| Energy Transition | 75 |
| Regulatory Environment (Biofuels) | 65 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 40 |
| Profitability | 15 |
| Growth | 20 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 45 |
| Cash Flow | 10 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 30 |
| Momentum | 70 |
| Volume Confirmation | 50 |
| Support & Resistance | 40 |
| Short-Term Performance | 75 |
AI Investing Checklist
Powered by LiveAIBullish Points (5)
Emerging Value Opportunity
The stock's Price-to-Sales (PS) ratio of 0.3 (TTM) is significantly below industry averages, suggesting potential undervaluation relative to its revenue generation capabilities.
Improving Cash Position
Cash and cash equivalents increased by $180.6 million from Q4 2023 to Q4 2024, indicating strong cash generation and improved liquidity.
Bearish Points (8)
Significant EPS Misses
Recent quarterly earnings per share (EPS) have consistently missed estimates, with EPS in Q2 2025 reported at -1.14 against an estimate of -0.56, indicating significant profitability challenges.
Negative Net Margins
The company has reported negative net margins for the last several reported quarters (e.g., -3.4% in 2024Q4, -12.1% in 2025Q1), highlighting ongoing issues with converting revenue into profit.
Calendar
May 2019
23
Ex-Dividend Date
June 2019
14
Next Dividend Date
August 2025
4
Next Earnings Date
H: $-0.28
A: $-0.34
L: $-0.52
H: 770.41M
A: 619.27M
L: 479.00M
Profile
Green Plains Inc. produces low-carbon fuels in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Ethanol Production, and Agribusiness and Energy Services. The Ethanol Production segment produces, stores, and transports ethanol, distiller grains, and ultra-high protein and renewable corn oil. The Agribusiness and Energy Services segment engages in the grain procurement and commodity marketing businesses; and marketing ethanol for a third-party producer, as well as buys and sells ethanol, distiller grains, renewable corn oil, grain, natural gas, and other commodities in various markets. This segment also provides grain drying and storage services to grain producers. The company was formerly known as Green Plains Renewable Energy, Inc. and changed its name to Green Plains Inc. in May 2014. Green Plains Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska.
Seasonals
Price Target
9.56 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for GPRE have a max estimate of 25.00 and a min estimate of 4.50.
Debt Level and Coverage
Financial Position Analysis
Ownership
Capital Structure
Valuation - Summary
Valuation - Ratios
Revenue to Profit Conversion
Balance Sheet
Income Statement
Cash Flow
Related Companies
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