GPKGraphic Packaging Holding Company presents a balanced investment profile with solid fundamentals, moderate growth, and mixed technical signals. It's suitable for investors seeking exposure to the packaging industry with a moderate risk appetite.
Graphic Packaging operates in the essential consumer packaging sector, benefiting from trends in e-commerce and sustainable packaging. However, it faces competitive pressures and commodity cost volatility.
Graphic Packaging demonstrates solid financial health with consistent revenue generation and a manageable debt level. Profitability has improved, though it remains sensitive to economic cycles.
The stock is trading below its 52-week high and shows mixed signals across various timeframes. Short-term momentum appears weak, but longer-term uptrends are not definitively broken.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Consumer Packaging Demand | 75 |
| Sustainability Trends | 70 |
| Commodity Price Sensitivity | 50 |
| Competitive Landscape | 60 |
| Regulatory Environment | 70 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 70 |
| Profitability | 75 |
| Growth | 40 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 60 |
| Cash Flow | 30 |
| Dividend Yield | 65 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 50 |
| Momentum | 55 |
| Moving Averages | 60 |
| Volume | 65 |
| Support/Resistance | 70 |
Attractive Valuation Metrics
The trailing twelve months (TTM) Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is 16.3, which is reasonable given the industry and historical performance. The Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio of 1.1 is also attractive, suggesting the company is valued relatively low compared to its revenue.
Positive Earnings Surprises
Graphic Packaging Holding Company has demonstrated a history of positive earnings surprises, beating analyst estimates in 7 out of the last 10 quarters. This indicates consistent operational performance and effective management.
Recent Earnings Misses
The company has missed analyst earnings per share (EPS) estimates in the last three reported quarters (Q2 2025, Q1 2025, Q4 2024), with percentage misses of -12.87%, -6.55%, and -5.19% respectively. This suggests recent operational challenges or forecasting difficulties.
Increasing P/E Ratio
The Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio has fluctuated, with a TTM P/E of 16.3 and a 2024 projected P/E of 12.3. However, quarterly P/E ratios have been significantly higher (e.g., 61.4 in Q1 2025), indicating potential overvaluation based on short-term earnings.
June 2025
13
Ex-Dividend Date
July 2025
5
Next Dividend Date
July 2025
29
Next Earnings Date
H: $0.50
A: $0.45
L: $0.35
H: 2.16B
A: 2.13B
L: 2.09B
Graphic Packaging Holding Company, together with its subsidiaries, designs, produces, and sells consumer packaging products to brands in food, beverage, foodservice, household, and other consumer products in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through three segments: Americas Paperboard Packaging, Europe Paperboard Packaging, and Paperboard Manufacturing. The company offers unbleached, bleached, and recycled paperboard to various paperboard packaging converters and brokers. It also provides paperboard packaging products for consumer packaged goods companies; and cups, lids, and food containers for foodservice companies and quick-service restaurants serving the food, beverage, and consumer product markets, including healthcare and beauty. The company also designs, manufactures, and installs specialized packaging machines. The company sells its products through sales offices, as well as through broker arrangements with third parties. Graphic Packaging Holding Company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
26.11 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for GPK have a max estimate of 32.90 and a min estimate of 21.00.