GHG$1.93
$1.95
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Powered by LiveAIOverall Analysis
BuyGreenTree Hospitality Group shows mixed signals. Strong historical profitability and a stable balance sheet are offset by recent revenue declines and mixed technical indicators. The dividend yield is notable, but forward growth prospects require careful monitoring.
Thematic
The company operates in the hospitality sector in China, which has recovery potential but also faces competitive pressures and evolving consumer preferences. Emerging trends like sustainable tourism and digital integration in hospitality could offer future growth avenues.
Fundamental
GreenTree Hospitality Group demonstrates solid historical profitability and a generally healthy balance sheet. However, recent performance shows a significant revenue decline and a shift to net losses in the latest annual data, which warrants attention.
Technical
The stock is currently trading at $2.34, up 1.74% for the day. Recent performance shows volatility, with a 5-day drop of 9.65% but a 1-month gain of 10.9%. Technical indicators suggest a mixed picture, with some support from moving averages but overbought conditions in some oscillators.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Hospitality Sector Growth (China) | 70 |
| Digital Transformation in Hospitality | 60 |
| Brand Diversification | 75 |
| Economic Sensitivity | 50 |
| Regulatory Environment (China) | 60 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 30 |
| Profitability | 50 |
| Growth | 20 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 40 |
| Cash Flow | 70 |
| Dividend Yield | 100 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 65 |
| Momentum | 60 |
| Momentum | 50 |
| Support & Resistance | 70 |
| Volume | 40 |
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Powered by LiveAIBullish Points (6)
Strong EPS Surprises
The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, notably with a 314.29% surprise in Q1 2024 and a 37.31% surprise in Q4 2024, indicating strong operational execution and forecasting accuracy.
Low P/E Ratio
The Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is 15.6x (TTM), which appears low compared to the industry average, suggesting the stock might be undervalued relative to its earnings.
Bearish Points (8)
Declining Net Income and Margins
Despite EPS surprises, the net income for 2024Q4 was a loss of -$76.1 million with a -25.0% net margin, a significant deterioration from Q4 2023 (-$30.7 million loss, -8.3% margin) and Q4 2022 (-$425.2 million loss, -28.9% margin).
High Debt Levels
The company carries significant debt ($1.71B in 2024Q4, $1.83B in 2023Q4), and the debt-to-capitalization ratio might be a concern given the fluctuating profitability.
Calendar
September 2024
30
Ex-Dividend Date
October 2024
23
Next Dividend Date
July 2025
31
Next Earnings Date
H: $
A: $
L: $
Profile
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd., through its subsidiaries, develops leased-and-operated, and franchised-and-managed hotels and restaurants in the People's Republic of China. It engages in the food manufacturing business; and provision of information technology services. The company's wholesale business includes sale of prepared meals and frozen foods to supermarkets, distributors, and restaurant franchisees. It operates under the GreenTree, Da Niang, and Lu Gang or Bellagio brand names. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China. GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. is a subsidiary of GreenTree Inns Hotel Management Group, Inc.
Seasonals
Debt Level and Coverage
Financial Position Analysis
Ownership
Capital Structure
Valuation - Summary
Valuation - Ratios
Revenue to Profit Conversion
Balance Sheet
Income Statement
Cash Flow
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