GGB$3.61
$3.62
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Powered by LiveAIOverall Analysis
BuyGerdau S.A. presents a mixed but generally positive investment profile. Strong fundamental performance, particularly in profitability and cash flow, is offset by some technical indicators suggesting a potential for short-term volatility. The company's position in essential industries provides a degree of resilience.
Thematic
Gerdau operates in the cyclical steel industry, which is crucial for infrastructure and construction. While not a high-growth tech theme, its business is tied to global economic activity and infrastructure development, with potential tailwinds from emerging markets and industrial modernization.
Fundamental
Gerdau demonstrates strong profitability and a solid balance sheet, with impressive cash flow generation. The company's valuation multiples appear attractive, especially the P/E ratio, indicating potential undervaluation or significant market expectations of earnings moderation.
Technical
The stock's recent performance shows a slight decline, with technical indicators mixed. While some moving averages suggest bullishness, RSI and other oscillators indicate a neutral to slightly bearish short-term outlook, suggesting potential for further consolidation or a minor pullback.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Infrastructure Development | 75 |
| Commodity Cycles | 60 |
| ESG & Sustainability | 70 |
| Emerging Market Exposure | 80 |
| Industry Competition | 65 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 95 |
| Profitability | 75 |
| Growth | 40 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 85 |
| Cash Flow | 90 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 65 |
| Momentum | 55 |
| Volume Confirmation | 60 |
| Support & Resistance | 50 |
| Short-term Trend (1-day) | 50 |
AI Investing Checklist
Powered by LiveAIBullish Points (6)
Positive EPS Surprise Trend
Gerdau S.A. (GGB) has shown a trend of beating earnings estimates, with surprises of 18.42% in Q3 2024 and 17.97% in Q2 2024, indicating operational efficiency and positive earnings surprises.
Low Price-to-Earnings Ratio
The P/E TTM (Trailing Twelve Months) ratio of 11.07 is relatively low, suggesting the stock may be undervalued compared to its earnings potential, especially within the industrials sector.
Bearish Points (7)
Negative EPS Surprises in Recent Quarters
Recent quarterly earnings have missed estimates, with a significant -40.8% surprise in Q2 2025 and -41.51% in Q1 2025, raising concerns about future earnings predictability and management's forecasting accuracy.
Potentially Volatile Valuation Multiples
Quarterly P/E ratios have shown significant fluctuations (e.g., 1.9 in Q1 2024 to 11.6 in Q4 2024), which can indicate market uncertainty or cyclical earnings, making valuation comparisons challenging.
Calendar
May 2025
12
Ex-Dividend Date
May 2025
27
Next Dividend Date
August 2025
1
Next Earnings Date
H: $0.52
A: $0.51
L: $0.49
H: 18.24B
A: 17.62B
L: 17.23B
Profile
Gerdau S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a steel producer company. The company operates through Brazil Business, North America Business, South America Business, and Special Steel Business segments. It provides semi-finished products, including billets, blooms, and slabs; common long-rolled products, such as rebars, wire rods, merchant bars, light shapes, and profiles to the construction and manufacturing industries; drawn products, including barbed and barbless fence wires, galvanized wires, fences, concrete reinforcing wire mesh, nails, and clamps for manufacturing, construction, and agricultural industries; and special steel products used in auto parts, light and heavy vehicles, and agricultural machinery, as well as in the oil and gas, wind energy, machinery and equipment, mining and rail, and other markets. The company also offers flat products, such as hot-rolled steel coils and heavy plates; and resells flat steel products. In addition, it operates mines that produce iron ore located in the Brazilian state of Minas Gerais. The company sells its products through independent distributors, direct sales from the mills, and its retail network. Gerdau S.A. was founded in 1901 and is based in São Paulo, Brazil.
Seasonals
Price Target
4.16 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for GGB have a max estimate of 5.03 and a min estimate of 3.63.
Debt Level and Coverage
Financial Position Analysis
Ownership
Capital Structure
Valuation - Summary
Valuation - Ratios
Revenue to Profit Conversion
Balance Sheet
Income Statement
Cash Flow
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