FOSL$2.31
$2.32
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AI FOSL Summary
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Powered by LiveAIOverall Analysis
HoldFossil Group shows some positive signs in its turnaround efforts and margin improvement, but faces significant revenue challenges. The stock is trading at a discount but carries substantial execution risk.
Thematic
Fossil Group's thematic positioning is mixed. While it's undergoing a transformation, the core fashion accessory market is mature, and the company has exited the growing smartwatch category.
Fundamental
Fossil Group is currently unprofitable with declining revenues. While gross margins have improved, this is largely due to cost-cutting and exiting certain product lines, masking ongoing top-line pressures.
Technical
Technical indicators for Fossil Group present a mixed picture, with some suggesting upward momentum while others indicate caution due to overbought conditions or bearish moving averages.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Brand Relevance in Fashion Accessories | 60 |
| Digital Transformation and E-commerce | 55 |
| Product Innovation (Excluding Smartwatches) | 50 |
| Supply Chain Efficiency | 50 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 60 |
| Profitability | 20 |
| Growth | 15 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 30 |
| Cash Flow | 25 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 50 |
| Momentum | 50 |
| Volume Confirmation | 45 |
| Support & Resistance | 50 |
AI Investing Checklist
Powered by LiveAIBullish Points (6)
Improving Operating Margin
Operating margin improved to -3.23% in March 2025 from -11.05% in December 2023, indicating a positive trend in profitability.
Positive Analyst Outlook
One analyst has a 'Buy' rating with a price target of $5.00, suggesting a potential upside of approximately 180.90% from the current price.
Bearish Points (7)
Consistent Net Losses
The company has reported negative net income for the trailing twelve months (-$95.95 million) and consistently negative net margins.
Negative P/E Ratio
The Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is negative (-0.88), indicating the company is not currently profitable, making traditional P/E valuation difficult.
Calendar
August 2025
7
Next Earnings Date
H: $-0.21
A: $-0.21
L: $-0.21
H: 198.04M
A: 198.04M
L: 198.04M
Profile
Fossil Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company's products include traditional watches, smartwatches, jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts, and sunglasses. It also manufactures and distributes private label brands. The company offers its products under its proprietary brands, such as FOSSIL, SKAGEN, MICHELE, RELIC, and ZODIAC; and under the licensed brands, including ARMANI EXCHANGE, DIESEL, EMPORIO ARMANI, KATE SPADE NEW YORK, MICHAEL KORS, SKECHERS, and TORY BURCH. It sells its products through company-owned retail and outlet stores, department and specialty retail stores, mass market stores, e-commerce sites, licensed and franchised FOSSIL retail stores, retail concessions, and airlines, as well as operate stores under the WATCH STATION and WSI brands. The company was formerly known as Fossil, Inc. and changed its name to Fossil Group, Inc. in May 2013. Fossil Group, Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Richardson, Texas.
Seasonals
Price Target
5.00 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for FOSL have a max estimate of 5.00 and a min estimate of 5.00.
Debt Level and Coverage
Financial Position Analysis
Ownership
Capital Structure
Valuation - Summary
Valuation - Ratios
Revenue to Profit Conversion
Balance Sheet
Income Statement
Cash Flow
Related Companies
Powered by LiveAIWeight: 98
Direct global competitor in watches and jewelry, with a diverse portfolio of brands from entry-level to luxury, directly challenging Fossil Group's core business. [5, 8, 14, 22]
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Direct competitor in the watch industry, owning and licensing various watch brands that compete with Fossil's owned and licensed watch portfolio. [22]
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Parent company of Coach, Kate Spade, and Stuart Weitzman, making it a direct competitor in the fashion accessories, handbags, and accessible luxury goods markets. [1, 6, 10]
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Direct competitor in the fashion accessories segment, primarily known for handbags, luggage, and related lifestyle products, catering to a similar consumer demographic. [1]