DLTR$141.21
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Powered by LiveAIOverall Analysis
HoldDollar Tree shows mixed signals. While its fundamental performance has been strong in the past, recent performance and current valuation metrics suggest a hold rating. Thematic tailwinds are present, but technical indicators are mixed.
Thematic
Dollar Tree operates in the discount retail sector, benefiting from consumer price sensitivity. However, it faces competition and potential shifts in consumer spending habits.
Fundamental
Dollar Tree has experienced significant revenue fluctuations and a recent net loss. While its balance sheet shows substantial assets, the debt levels and current profitability metrics are a concern.
Technical
Despite recent price declines, Dollar Tree's technical indicators suggest a potential for a rebound. The stock is trading near its 52-week low but shows some oversold conditions on shorter timeframes.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Discount Retail Demand | 75 |
| Competitive Landscape | 50 |
| Supply Chain & Inventory Management | 60 |
| E-commerce Integration | 55 |
| Brand Strength & Reputation | 75 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 30 |
| Profitability | 15 |
| Growth | 50 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 40 |
| Cash Flow | 70 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 40 |
| Momentum | 55 |
| Support & Resistance | 70 |
| Volume Analysis | 65 |
| Short-term Oscillators | 75 |
AI Investing Checklist
Powered by LiveAIBullish Points (6)
Positive Earnings Surprises
Dollar Tree has consistently exceeded EPS estimates in recent quarters, with positive surprises in 8 out of the last 12 reported quarters, indicating operational execution and robust profitability.
Reasonable P/E Ratio in Context
The P/E ratio of 22.53 (TTM) for Dollar Tree, while not extremely low, is within a reasonable range considering its historical performance and the consumer staples sector. Further analysis of industry peers and growth prospects is recommended.
Bearish Points (8)
Negative Earnings Per Share (EPS) TTM
The trailing twelve months (TTM) EPS is negative (-$5.07 reported by the company on a per-share basis, and implied by the negative net income and positive shares float), and the TTM P/E ratio is negative (-8.0). This indicates a lack of profitability over the recent year, a significant concern for valuation.
Declining Revenue and Profitability
Recent quarterly data (Q1 2025) shows a significant negative revenue figure (-$5.00 billion) and a substantial net loss (-$3.03 billion), a stark contrast to previous periods. This indicates severe revenue and profitability challenges.
Calendar
September 2025
2
Next Earnings Date
H: $0.49
A: $0.38
L: $0.32
H: 4.53B
A: 4.45B
L: 4.32B
Profile
Dollar Tree, Inc. operates retail discount stores under the Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada brands in the United States and Canada. The company offers consumable merchandise comprising everyday consumables, such as household paper and chemicals, food, candy, health, personal care products, and frozen and refrigerated food; variety merchandise consisting of toys, durable housewares, gifts, stationery, party goods, greeting cards, softlines, arts and crafts supplies, and other items; and seasonal goods, including Christmas, Easter, Halloween, and Valentine's Day merchandise. Dollar Tree, Inc. was founded in 1986 and is based in Chesapeake, Virginia.
Seasonals
Price Target
100.42 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for DLTR have a max estimate of 138.00 and a min estimate of 70.00.
Debt Level and Coverage
Financial Position Analysis
Ownership
Capital Structure
Valuation - Summary
Valuation - Ratios
Revenue to Profit Conversion
Balance Sheet
Income Statement
Cash Flow
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