COTYCoty Inc. presents a mixed investment profile. While it operates in the stable beauty sector and has a recognizable brand portfolio, its financial performance shows recent volatility and declining profitability. Technical indicators suggest a downtrend, making it a neutral to cautious pick. It might appeal to investors seeking exposure to consumer staples with a long-term turnaround thesis, but significant risks remain.
Coty is positioned within the resilient beauty and personal care market, which benefits from consistent consumer demand. However, its exposure to traditional retail channels may be a headwind against the growth of e-commerce and direct-to-consumer (DTC) models. Emerging trends like clean beauty and sustainability are areas where Coty is investing, but its ability to capture significant market share against agile competitors is yet to be fully proven.
Coty's financials show signs of improvement in revenue but a decline in profitability, particularly net margin. The company has reduced its debt levels and is managing its capital structure. However, recent earnings have missed estimates, and EPS is negative on a TTM basis, reflecting ongoing challenges.
The stock is trading below its 52-week high and exhibits a downtrend across multiple short to medium-term moving averages. While some oscillators suggest it might be oversold in the very short term, the overall trend is negative. Investors should watch for signs of trend reversal and improved momentum.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Beauty & Personal Care Market Demand | 85 |
| E-commerce & DTC Growth | 60 |
| Clean Beauty & Sustainability Focus | 75 |
| Brand Portfolio Strength | 70 |
| Competitive Landscape | 60 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 65 |
| Profitability | 20 |
| Growth | 70 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 45 |
| Cash Flow | 75 |
| Earnings Performance | 15 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 35 |
| Trend Analysis | 30 |
| Momentum | 50 |
| Support & Resistance | 45 |
| Volume Confirmation | 55 |
Potentially Undervalued Price-to-Sales
The Price-to-Sales (PS) ratio of 0.9 for the Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) is lower than its historical averages and industry peers, suggesting potential undervaluation.
Positive Net Income and Margin Recovery
The company reported positive Net Income of $89.4 million in the latest annual period (2024Q2) with a Net Margin of 1.5%, indicating a recovery from negative net income in prior periods.
Inconsistent EPS and Significant Surprises
Quarterly EPS estimates have frequently missed actual reported results, with some quarters showing negative surprises of over 80% (e.g., 2025Q2), indicating forecasting difficulty and potential volatility.
Negative TTM P/E Ratio and High P/S
The Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is negative (-14.4), and the Price-to-Sales (PS) ratio is 0.9, which, while low, suggests profitability concerns when paired with negative earnings.
February 2020
14
Ex-Dividend Date
March 2020
27
Next Dividend Date
August 2025
21
Next Earnings Date
H: $0.06
A: $0.02
L: $0.01
H: 1.27B
A: 1.21B
L: 1.16B
Coty Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells beauty products worldwide. It operates through Prestige and Consumer Beauty segments. The company provides fragrance, color cosmetics, and skin and body care products. It offers Prestige segment products primarily through prestige retailers, including perfumeries, department stores, e-retailers, direct-to-consumer websites, and duty-free shops under the Burberry, Calvin Klein, Chloe, Davidoff, Escada, Gucci, Hugo Boss, Infiniment Coty Paris, Jil Sander, Joop!, Kylie Jenner, Lancaster, Marc Jacobs, Miu Miu, Orveda, philosophy, SKKN BY KIM, and Tiffany & Co. brands. The company provides Consumer Beauty segment products primarily through hypermarkets, supermarkets, drug stores, pharmacies, mid-tier department stores, traditional food and drug retailers, and e-commerce retailers under the Adidas, Beckham, Bozzano, Bourjois, Bruno Banani, CoverGirl, Jovan, Max Factor, Mexx, Monange, Nautica, Paixao, LeGer by Lena Gercke, Rimmel, Risque, Vera Wang, and Sally Hansen brands. It also sells its products through third-party distributors. The company was founded in 1904 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Coty Inc. is a subsidiary of JAB Beauty B.V.
6.56 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for COTY have a max estimate of 12.00 and a min estimate of 4.00.