ARKOArko Corp. presents a mixed investment profile. Fundamentally, it shows potential with consistent revenue and a improving dividend yield, but is hampered by negative EPS and high debt relative to cash flow. Thematics offer some interest in convenience retail, but lack the strong growth drivers seen in other sectors. Technicals are currently bearish across multiple timeframes, suggesting further downside pressure might be likely in the short to medium term.
Arko Corp. operates in the convenience store and fuel retail sector, a mature industry. While there's stability in demand for these services, significant growth themes like AI or advanced technology are not directly applicable. Potential themes include adaptation to changing consumer preferences (e.g., healthier options, digital integration) and optimization of fuel sales in a transitioning energy market.
Arko Corp. demonstrates revenue growth, particularly in the most recent annual period. However, profitability remains a significant concern, with negative EPS and declining net margins. The company carries a substantial debt load, and its ability to service this debt through free cash flow appears strained, leading to a neutral fundamental rating.
Arko Corp.'s technical indicators across various timeframes suggest a bearish trend. The stock is trading below key moving averages, and momentum oscillators are predominantly signaling sell or neutral, with RSI in the lower range. The 1-day and 4-hour charts specifically indicate strong selling pressure and downward trend continuation.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Convenience Retail Demand | 65 |
| Fuel Transition Adaptation | 30 |
| Digital & Loyalty Programs | 50 |
| Foodservice & Merchandise Mix | 60 |
| Supply Chain & Operational Efficiency | 50 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 70 |
| Valuation | 5 |
| Profitability | 15 |
| Growth | 20 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 15 |
| Cash Flow | 40 |
| Dividends | 60 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 30 |
| Momentum | 50 |
| Momentum | 40 |
| Support & Resistance | 45 |
| Volume Confirmation | 50 |
| Short-term Trend (4H) | 35 |
Undervalued Relative to Peers
The current Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 151.5 is significantly higher than the industry average of 25, which might indicate potential overvaluation. However, considering the company's high revenue growth, the Price/Sales (P/S) ratio of 0.1 is very attractive and suggests it could be undervalued compared to its revenue generation capabilities.
Positive Revenue Trend
Revenue has shown an upward trend from $7.42 billion in 2021 to $8.73 billion in 2024, demonstrating consistent top-line growth. The net margin, while fluctuating, shows periods of profitability.
High P/E Ratio
The trailing twelve months (TTM) P/E ratio of 151.5 is exceptionally high, suggesting that the market has very high growth expectations, or the stock may be significantly overvalued relative to its current earnings.
Inconsistent EPS and Surprise Misses
Earnings Per Share (EPS) estimates have frequently been missed, with several quarters showing significant negative surprises (e.g., Q1 2025 estimate -0.17, reported -0.12; Q4 2024 estimate 0.12, reported 0.07). TTM Net Income is negative, contributing to the high P/E.
May 2025
19
Ex-Dividend Date
May 2025
30
Next Dividend Date
August 2025
7
Next Earnings Date
H: $0.09
A: $0.09
L: $0.09
H: 2.06B
A: 2.04B
L: 2.00B
Arko Corp., through its subsidiary, operates a chain of convenience stores in the United States. It operates through Retail, Wholesale, Fleet Fueling, and GPMP segments. The Retail segment engages in the operation of retail stores that sells fuel and merchandise, as well as cold and hot foodservice, beverages, cigarettes and other tobacco products, candy, salty snacks, grocery, beer and general merchandise to retail consumers. The Wholesale segment supplies fuel to dealers, sub-wholesalers, and bulk and spot purchasers. The Fleet Fueling segment operates proprietary and third-party cardlock, and sells fuel using proprietary fuel cards. The GPMP segment is involved in the wholesale distribution of fuel to the retail and wholesale segments. The company is based in Richmond, Virginia.
7.12 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for ARKO have a max estimate of 10.00 and a min estimate of 4.50.