AGNC$10.2
$10.1899
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Powered by LiveAIOverall Analysis
BuyAGNC Investment Corp. presents a compelling income-generating opportunity with a solid fundamental footing in the mortgage-backed securities market. While current technical indicators suggest a short-term neutral to slightly cautious stance, its attractive dividend yield and strategic market positioning offer long-term appeal. Potential investors should monitor interest rate movements and their impact on the REIT's portfolio.
Thematic
AGNC operates within the residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) market, a sector intrinsically linked to housing affordability, interest rates, and government housing policy. While the core business is stable, the thematic tailwinds are moderate and heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors.
Fundamental
AGNC Investment Corp. exhibits a strong dividend yield and a generally robust financial position, though profitability can be volatile due to market conditions. Its valuation appears reasonable given its dividend payout, but careful consideration of its asset portfolio and interest rate sensitivity is crucial.
Technical
AGNC Investment Corp.'s stock is trading within a defined range, showing mixed signals across various technical indicators. Short-term momentum appears slightly bullish, but broader trends indicate a need for more sustained upward momentum for a strong buy signal.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Interest Rate Environment | 50 |
| Housing Market Stability | 70 |
| REIT Structure Benefits | 85 |
| Economic Growth & Inflation | 60 |
| Regulatory Landscape for MBS | 70 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 65 |
| Profitability | 60 |
| Growth | 0 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 75 |
| Cash Flow & Dividends | 95 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 60 |
| Momentum | 70 |
| Volume Confirmation | 70 |
| Support & Resistance | 75 |
AI Investing Checklist
Powered by LiveAIBullish Points (6)
Positive Earnings Surprises
AGNC Investment Corp. has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, with a surprise percentage of 9.73% in Q2 2025 and 1.18% in Q1 2024, indicating operational efficiency and strong earnings power.
Attractive P/E Ratio
The trailing P/E ratio is 26.72, which, when compared to the sector average (if available), might suggest a reasonable valuation for its earnings, especially considering its REIT structure.
Bearish Points (7)
High P/S Ratio
The TTM Price/Sales (P/S) ratio is 16.5, which is notably high and could indicate that the stock is overvalued relative to its revenue generation.
Inconsistent Earnings vs. Estimates
AGNC Investment Corp. missed EPS estimates in Q1 2025 (-12.74%) and Q4 2024 (-14.34%), indicating potential challenges in meeting future earnings expectations.
Calendar
July 2025
31
Ex-Dividend Date
August 2025
11
Next Dividend Date
October 2025
21
Next Earnings Date
H: $0.41
A: $0.38
L: $0.37
H: 489.64M
A: 440.07M
L: 390.70M
Profile
AGNC Investment Corp. provides private capital to housing market in the United States. The company invests in residential mortgage pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by the United States government-sponsored enterprise or by the United States government agency. It qualifies as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. The company generally would not be subject to federal or state corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. The company was formerly known as American Capital Agency Corp. and changed its name to AGNC Investment Corp. in September 2016. AGNC Investment Corp. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.
Seasonals
Price Target
9.72 USD
The 39 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for AGNC have a max estimate of 10.50 and a min estimate of 9.00.
Debt Level and Coverage
Financial Position Analysis
Ownership
Capital Structure
Valuation - Summary
Valuation - Ratios
Revenue to Profit Conversion
Balance Sheet
Income Statement
Cash Flow
Related Companies
Powered by LiveAIWeight: 98
Largest mortgage REIT peer, directly competes with AGNC in agency residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) and other mortgage-related assets.
Weight: 95
Residential mortgage REIT with a diversified investment portfolio, including non-agency MBS and residential mortgage loans, similar to AGNC's market focus.
Weight: 94
Mortgage REIT investing in agency and non-agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS), and commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS), a direct peer.
Weight: 93
Mortgage REIT primarily focused on investing in agency residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS), making it a close direct peer to AGNC.