AFRI$10.4
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Powered by LiveAIOverall Analysis
HoldForafric Global PLC presents a mixed investment profile. While it operates in essential commodity sectors with global reach, recent performance indicates challenges, and current technical indicators suggest caution. Fundamental analysis shows some strengths but also areas needing improvement.
Thematic
The company is involved in agricultural commodities, a sector with stable, long-term demand. Its operations in Morocco, Burkina Faso, and Mali place it in emerging markets, offering potential growth but also carrying geopolitical and operational risks. The focus on processing into couscous and pasta adds value but also exposes it to consumer demand fluctuations.
Fundamental
Forafric Global PLC shows declining revenues and net losses in recent periods. While the balance sheet indicates substantial assets and liabilities, the company has experienced negative free cash flow in some prior years. Valuation metrics like P/S are relatively low, but P/E is negative due to losses.
Technical
The stock is trading below its 52-week high and has experienced significant performance declines over the past year and year-to-date. While some short-term indicators show buying signals, the longer-term trend and current price action suggest neutrality with a bias towards caution.
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Agricultural Commodity Demand | 75 |
| Emerging Market Operations | 50 |
| Value-Added Processing | 70 |
| Export Diversification | 70 |
| Brand Recognition | 60 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 60 |
| Valuation | 20 |
| Profitability | 25 |
| Growth | 30 |
| Balance Sheet Health | 20 |
| Cash Flow | 50 |
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Trend Analysis | 60 |
| Trend Analysis | 40 |
| Momentum | 50 |
| Performance | 20 |
| Volume | 50 |
| Support & Resistance | 50 |
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Powered by LiveAIBullish Points (5)
Attractive Valuation Metrics
The Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio is 1.0, and the Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is -11.3 (likely due to recent losses but indicating potential for future recovery if earnings improve). The P/S ratio is lower than the trailing four quarters average of 0.85, suggesting the stock may be attractively valued on a sales basis, especially considering the potential for margin improvement and future earnings growth.
Positive Short-Term Performance
The stock has shown positive performance over short periods, with a 5-day return of 0.78% and a 1-month return of 0.39%. This indicates recent positive momentum.
Bearish Points (6)
Recent Net Losses and Declining Revenue
The company has reported net losses for the last four reported quarters, with a net loss of $24.3 million in Q4 2024. Revenue has also declined year-over-year from $302.0 million in Q4 2023 to $274.2 million in Q4 2024, indicating significant challenges in revenue generation and profitability.
Negative Earnings and High P/S Ratio
The negative P/E ratio (-11.3) reflects recent losses. While the P/S ratio of 1.0 appears low, it could be indicative of an underlying business valuation challenge given the ongoing losses. The P/S ratio has, however, increased from 0.7 in Q4 2023, suggesting a potential rebound in market valuation relative to sales.
Profile
Forafric Global PLC engages in the purchase, storage, transport, processing, and sale of agricultural commodities and commodity products in Morocco, Burkina, Mali, and internationally. The company operates through Soft Wheat, Durum Wheat, and Couscous and Pasta segments. It provides wheat flours and semolina; and secondary processing products, such as pasta and couscous. The company operates under the TRIA and MayMouna brand names. It serves wholesale foods manufacturers and distributors. The company also exports its products to approximately 45 countries. Forafric Global PLC was founded in 1926 and is headquartered in Gibraltar.
Seasonals
Debt Level and Coverage
Financial Position Analysis
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Capital Structure
Valuation - Ratios
Revenue to Profit Conversion
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Income Statement
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